Results 21 to 30 of about 143 (140)

Functional Vašiček Model

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose a new formulation of the Vašičekmodel within the framework of functional data analysis. We treat observations (continuous‐time rates) within a suitably defined trading day as a single statistical object. We then consider a sequence of such objects, indexed by day.
Piotr Kokoszka, Neda Mohammadi, Leonardo Santoro, Hong Miao, Haonan Wang   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

On Selection of Cross‐Section Averages in Non‐Stationary Environments

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Information criteria (ICs) have been widely used in factor models to estimate an unknown number of latent factors. It has recently been shown that ICs perform well in Common Correlated Effects (CCE) and related settings when selecting a set of cross‐section averages (CAs) sufficient for the factor space under stationary factors.
Jan Ditzen, Ovidijus Stauskas
wiley   +1 more source

A Bayesian-martingale approach to the general disorder problem

Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2007
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
KAVTARADZE T, LAZIERZA N, MANIA M, MULIERE, PIETRO   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Penalized Convex Estimation in Dynamic Location Models

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper studies L1$$ {L}^1 $$‐penalized estimation for location models yt=mt+ϵt$$ {y}_t={m}_t+{\epsilon}_t $$, where mt$$ {m}_t $$ is defined by a possibly non‐Markovian recursion and ϵt$$ {\epsilon}_t $$ is a martingale difference sequence with possibly time‐varying conditional variance.
Reda Alami Chentoufi
wiley   +1 more source

Detecting Periodicity of a General Stationary Time Series via AR(2)‐Model Fitting

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Estimating the periodicity of a stationary time series via fitting a second‐order stationary autoregressive (AR(2)) model has been initiated by the seminal paper of Yule (1927). We investigate properties of this procedure when applied to general stationary processes possessing a spectral density with a dominant peak at some unknown frequency ...
Jens‐Peter Kreiss, Panagiotis Maouris, Efstathios Paparoditis   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Measure‐valued processes for energy markets

Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.
Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero, Luca Di Persio, Francesco Guida, Sara Svaluto‐Ferro   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Martingale posteriors for generative classifiers

Statistics & Probability Letters
Generative models for classification are a well-established method in statistics and machine learning. Martingales posteriors provide a computationally feasible method for performing prior-free Bayesian analysis. This paper aims to address the problem of uncertainty quantification through martingale posteriors for generative models for classification ...
Bissiri P. G., Borrotti M.
openaire   +2 more sources

The fundamental theorem of asset pricing with and without transaction costs

Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 567-609, April 2025.
Abstract We prove a version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) in continuous time that is based on the strict no‐arbitrage condition and that is applicable to both frictionless markets and markets with proportional transaction costs. We consider a market with a single risky asset whose ask price process is higher than or equal to its ...
Christoph Kühn
wiley   +1 more source

Optimal Portfolio Choice With Cross‐Impact Propagators

Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We consider a class of optimal portfolio choice problems in continuous time where the agent's transactions create both transient cross‐impact driven by a matrix‐valued Volterra propagator, as well as temporary price impact. We formulate this problem as the maximization of a revenue‐risk functional, where the agent also exploits available ...
Eduardo Abi Jaber, Eyal Neuman, Sturmius Tuschmann   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Martingale densities for general asset prices [PDF]

Journal of Mathematical Economics, 1992
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
openaire   +1 more source