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Efficient or Fractal Market Hypothesis? A Stock Indexes Modelling Using Geometric Brownian Motion and Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion [PDF]

open access: goldMathematics, 2021
In this article, we propose a test of the dynamics of stock market indexes typical of the US and EU capital markets in order to determine which of the two fundamental hypotheses, efficient market hypothesis (EMH) or fractal market hypothesis (FMH), best ...
Vasile Brătian   +4 more
doaj   +4 more sources

Geometric fractional Brownian motion model for commodity market simulation

open access: goldAlexandria Engineering Journal, 2021
The geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model is a mathematical model that has been used to model asset price paths. By incorporating Hurst parameter to GBM to characterize long-memory phenomenon, the geometric fractional Brownian motion (GFBM) model was ...
Siti Nur Iqmal Ibrahim   +2 more
doaj   +5 more sources

Applying the IR statistic to estimate the Hurst index of the fractional geometric Brownian motion

open access: diamondLietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys, 2010
In 2010 J.M. Bardet and D. Surgailis [1] have introduced the increment ratio (IR) statistic which measures the roughness of random paths. It was shown that this statistic was applicable in the cases of diffusion processes driven by the standard Brownian ...
Dimitrij Melichov
doaj   +5 more sources

Pricing geometric average Asian options in the mixed sub-fractional Brownian motion environment with Vasicek interest rate model

open access: goldAIMS Mathematics
Considering the characteristics of long-range correlations in financial markets, the issue of valuing geometric average Asian options is examined, assuming that the variations of the underlying asset follow the mixed sub-fractional Brownian motion, and ...
Xinyi Wang, Chunyu Wang
doaj   +3 more sources

A Geometric Drift Inequality for a Reflected Fractional Brownian Motion Process on the Positive Orthant [PDF]

open access: bronzeJournal of Applied Probability, 2011
We study a d-dimensional reflected fractional Brownian motion (RFBM) process on the positive orthant S = ℝ+d, with drift r0 ∈ ℝd and Hurst parameter H ∈ (½, 1). Under a natural stability condition on the drift vector r0 and reflection directions, we establish a geometric drift towards a compact set for the 1-skeleton chain Ž̆ of the RFBM process Z ...
Chihoon Lee
  +6 more sources

Approximating a geometric fractional Brownian motion and related processes via discrete Wick calculus [PDF]

open access: hybridBernoulli, 2010
We approximate the solution of some linear systems of SDEs driven by a fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with Hurst parameter $H\in(\frac{1}{2},1)$ in the Wick--It sense, including a geometric fractional Brownian motion. To this end, we apply a Donsker-type approximation of the fractional Brownian motion by disturbed binary random walks due to ...
Christian Bender, Peter Parczewski
openalex   +5 more sources

Simulating Rubber Prices under Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion with Different Hurst Estimators

open access: goldMalaysian Journal of Fundamental and Applied Sciences, 2023
Natural rubber was a vital pillar of Malaysia's export-oriented economy throughout much of the twentieth century, according to the Economic History of Malaya (EHM) website, the worldwide demand for natural rubber is expected to expand at a CAGR of 4.8% in the future (2019–2023).
Srivennila Sri Balasubramaniam   +1 more
openalex   +3 more sources

The evaluation of geometric Asian power options under time changed mixed fractional Brownian motion [PDF]

open access: bronzeJournal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 2018
The aim of this paper is to evaluate geometric Asian option by a mixed fractional subdiffusive Black-Scholes model. We derive a pricing formula for geometric Asian option when the underlying stock follows a time changed mixed fractional Brownian motion.
Foad Shokrollahi
openalex   +4 more sources

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