Results 121 to 130 of about 1,187,144 (257)
Probability forecasts – Part 1: ensembles and probabilistic forecasts
Weather, Volume 81, Issue 3, Page 82-88, March 2026.Ensemble weather forecasts have been in use for many years to help forecasters understand uncertainty in weather predictions but are now becoming core to some operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems. Ensembles offer greater predictive skill and information content than deterministic forecasts but are more complex to interpret and ...
Ken Mylne
wiley +1 more source
تحقيقات جغرافيايی, 2017 In the present investigation, we have focused on long-term precipitation variability over the northwestern of Iran in relation to climate profile of North Atlantic Oscillations (NAO).
Mojtaba Zoljoodi +2 more
doaj
Earth and Space Science, Volume 13, Issue 3, March 2026.Abstract Wind approximations, such as geostrophic and gradient wind, are limited in their ability to accurately represent atmospheric conditions in the presence of significant planetary wave activity. Those approximations, while widely applied in synoptic‐scale wind field estimation, fail to capture the full complexity of atmospheric dynamics under ...
Johannes Unegg, I. Nimac, J. Danzer
wiley +1 more source
Earth and Space Science, Volume 13, Issue 3, March 2026.Abstract In Pakistan, millions of people are influenced annually by flash floods in the monsoon season (June–September). The eastern river basin, situated in the northeastern part of the country, is especially susceptible to devastating floods. This study examines the frequency and persistence of Extreme Precipitation Events (EPEs) and associated high ...
Muhammad Irfan Virk, Kalim Ullah
wiley +1 more source
How Will Tropical Pacific Trends Affect the Future of the Southern Annular Mode?
Earth's Future, Volume 14, Issue 3, March 2026.Abstract The Southern Hemisphere extratropical atmospheric circulation has experienced a strong positive trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). Understanding the cause of this change is crucial for projecting future regional climate change. Here, we analyze the contributing factors to the trend in the SAM under both historical and future conditions.
Weiteng Qiu +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Earth's Future, Volume 14, Issue 3, March 2026.Abstract Tropical Cyclones (TCs) affecting southeastern Africa are poorly understood, due to limited focused research and challenges in modeling TCs. Higher resolution climate models have potential to provide more reliable projections. In this paper, we analyze the latest global high‐resolution simulations (“HighResMIP”), to evaluate what these models ...
Daniel Rhys Green +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Extreme Coastal Waves Due To Australian East Coast Lows in a Warming Climate
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Volume 131, Issue 3, March 2026.Abstract The southeast coastline of Australia is frequently impacted by East Coast Lows (ECLs), hybrid storms with both tropical and extratropical characteristics. Although typically short‐lived and spatially limited, ECLs can rapidly intensify and generate extreme waves that cause severe coastal erosion and associated hazards.
Aditya N. Deshmukh +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Medium‐Range Predictability of the Wintertime Bering Sea Ice Edge Using Linear Inverse Modeling
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Volume 131, Issue 3, March 2026.Abstract Beginning in autumn, sea ice expands into the southern Bering Sea, where it remains until spring. In winter, some commercial stocks, particularly crabs, thrive in ice‐infested areas, necessitating short‐lead forecasts of the ice edge for fishers.
Christopher J. Cox, Cécile Penland
wiley +1 more source
CAN reveals rapid intensification features of spring cyclones over Mongolian plateau and Northeast China plain. [PDF]
Sci RepSun R, Diao Y, Li J.
europepmc +1 more source