Results 61 to 70 of about 2,535 (244)

Characteristics of diabatically influenced cyclones with high wind damage potential in Europe

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Diabatic processes contribute, on average, 26% to the intensification of European winter storms, with diabatically driven cyclones exhibiting steeper deepening rates, stronger wind gusts, and increased precipitation. These storms are linked to enhanced warm conveyor belt (WCB) activity and develop in a warmer environment with elevated lower ...
Svenja Christ, Julian Quinting, Joaquim G. Pinto   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Windows of opportunity in subseasonal weather regime forecasting: A statistical–dynamical approach

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study explores how the atmospheric state at initialisation creates windows of opportunity for improving week 3 forecasts of weather regime activity. Greenland blocking activity increases following Madden–Julian Oscillation phases 7, 8, and 1 and weak stratospheric polar vortex states, revealing patterns exploitable by statistical models.
Fabian Mockert, Christian M. Grams, Sebastian Lerch, Julian Quinting   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Assimilation of European and global Mode‐S aircraft observations into the Met Office global deterministic numerical weather prediction model

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
European and global Mode‐S aircraft reports have been assimilated into the Met Office global deterministic numerical weather prediction model, improving forecast accuracy for wind, temperature, and geopotential height. This is the first time global Mode‐S network data have been assimilated, which include data from under‐observed regions, and has ...
Elliott Warren, Warren Tennant, Edmund Stone, Joanne Waller, Christopher Thomas, Adam Maycock   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley   +1 more source

Predictability of North Pacific blocking events: Analogue‐based analysis of historical MIROC6 simulations

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The predictability of western and eastern North Pacific blocking events is assessed using analogue‐based diagnostics. Eastern blocks exhibit lower predictability, characterized by faster error growth and higher mean logarithmic divergence rates. The study highlights geographical contrasts in blocking stability.
Anupama K. Xavier, Oisín Hamilton, Davide Faranda, Stéphane Vannitsem   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Estimating the geopotential value W0 of the local geoid based on data from local and global normal heights of GPS/leveling points in Vietnam

Geodesy and Cartography, 2013
Currently, the determination of geopotential value W0 of local geoid that best fits local mean sea level at the Zero Tide Gauge Station is getting important in building the National Geoid-Based Vertical System.
Ha Minh Hoa
doaj   +1 more source

Mesoscale and microphysical processes leading to extreme hourly rainfall prior to the merger of two mesoscale convective systems in Central China

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Short‐term extreme rainfall can be produced by the variation of low‐level warm moist airflow during mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) approaching another. The cold outflow of the rapidly moving MCS intensifies the warm moist airflow in front, enhancing the convergence and ascending motion in the quasi‐stationary MCS.
Xiaoyu Gao, Yali Luo, Jinfang Yin, Chong Wu   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Exceptionally poor and good medium‐range forecasts of the large‐scale circulation over Europe in ERA5 reforecasts

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study investigates year‐round exceptionally poor and good day‐6 forecasts of the 500‐hPa geopotential height field over Europe using 45 years of ERA5 reforecasts and applies a weather regime perspective to analyse large‐scale pattern evolution and regime transitions.
Seraphine Hauser, Steven M. Cavallo, Linus Magnusson, Jonathan E. Martin, David B. Parsons   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Geopotential determination based on a direct clock comparison using two-way satellite time and frequency transfer

Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, 2019
According to Einstein’s general relativity theory, a precise (atomic) clock runs faster at a position with higher gravitational potential than a clock at a position with lower potential.
Wen-Bin Shen, Xiao Sun, Chenghui Cai, Kuangchao Wu, Ziyu Shen   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Covariance of the intertropical discontinuity and African easterly jet in Sahelian wet and dry years

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Intertropical discontinuity and African easterly jet (AEJ) positions are strongly correlated, with a more pronounced linear relationship across wet years. Surface heat flux anomalies modify low‐level temperature and sensible heat flux gradients that shift the AEJ core south of the gradient maxima in both composites.
Marian Amoakowaah Osei, Cornelia Klein, Christopher M. Taylor, Douglas J. Parker, Michael Baidu   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source