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Four Global Catastrophic Risks – A Personal View [PDF]

open access: yesFrontiers in Earth Science, 2021
Global catastrophic risks (GCRs) affect a larger than hemispheric area and produce death tolls of many millions and/or economic losses greater than several trillion USD. Here I explore the biophysical, social-economic, demographic and cultural strands of
Russell Blong
doaj   +4 more sources

Classifying global catastrophic risks [PDF]

open access: yesFutures, 2018
We present a novel classification framework for severe global catastrophic risk scenarios. Extending beyond existing work that identifies individual risk scenarios, we propose analysing global catastrophic risks along three dimensions: the critical systems affected, global spread mechanisms, and prevention and mitigation failures.
Shahar Avin   +2 more
exaly   +5 more sources

Global catastrophic and existential risks communication scale [PDF]

open access: yesFutures, 2018
Abstract Existential risks threaten the future of humanity, but they are difficult to measure. However, to communicate, prioritize and mitigate such risks it is important to estimate their relative significance. Risk probabilities are typically used, but for existential risks they are problematic due to ambiguity, and because quantitative ...
David Denkenberger, Alexey Turchin
exaly   +7 more sources

Assessing natural global catastrophic risks. [PDF]

open access: yesNat Hazards (Dordr), 2023
The risk of global catastrophe from natural sources may be significantly larger than previous analyses have found. In the study of global catastrophic risk (GCR), one line of thinking posits that deep human history renders natural GCRs insignificant. Essentially, the fact that natural hazards did not cause human extinction at any previous time makes it
Baum SD.
europepmc   +3 more sources

Global policymakers and catastrophic risk [PDF]

open access: yesPolicy Sciences, 2021
AbstractThere is a rapidly developing literature on risks that threaten the whole of humanity, or a large part of it. Discussion is increasingly turning to how such risks can be governed. This paper arises from a study of those involved the governance of risks from emerging technologies, examining the perceptions of global catastrophic risk within the ...
Christopher Nathan, Keith Hyams
openaire   +5 more sources

Inequalities in financial burden of tuberculosis among affected families across 19 low- and middle-income countries. [PDF]

open access: yesPLOS Global Public Health
Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major global public health problem, with majority of the cases occurring in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Despite its growing burden, cross-country evidence on inequalities in financial burden among affected ...
Gilbert Eshun   +2 more
doaj   +2 more sources

No Place to Hide? Regional Resilience and Vulnerability to Global Catastrophic Risk [PDF]

open access: yesGlobal Challenges
What places on Earth are most resilient to global catastrophic risk (GCR)? We provide the first study of what locations are more resilient against the impacts of nuclear war, near‐Earth objects, large‐magnitude volcanic eruptions, large‐scale ...
Florian Ulrich Jehn   +7 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Are There Real Global Catastrophic Biological Risks?

open access: yesVojenské rozhledy
Biosecurity and biodefence (i.e. all countermeasures preventing the spread of a biological agent in the environment and population) are on the routine agenda of states and their militaries. Somewhat on the sidelines are the Global Catastrophic Biological
Aleš Macela, Vanda Boštíková
doaj   +2 more sources

Evolution of alpha-Gal synthesis - a growing risk for alpha Gal syndrome [PDF]

open access: yesAnnals of Medicine
Background Alpha-Gal syndrome (AGS) is a growing burden worldwide associated with arthropods and allergies with pathologies such as urticaria, digestive and anaphylactic reactions. These reactions commonly appear 2–6 h after consumption of mammalian meat
Rita Vaz-Rodrigues, José de la Fuente
doaj   +2 more sources

Global Catastrophic Biological Risks: Toward a Working Definition [PDF]

open access: yesHealth Security, 2017
The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security is working to analyze and deepen scientific dialogue regarding potential global catastrophic biological risks (GCBRs), in a continuation of its mission to reduce the consequences of epidemics and disasters.
Sanjana J Ravi   +2 more
exaly   +3 more sources

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