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Four Global Catastrophic Risks – A Personal View [PDF]
Global catastrophic risks (GCRs) affect a larger than hemispheric area and produce death tolls of many millions and/or economic losses greater than several trillion USD. Here I explore the biophysical, social-economic, demographic and cultural strands of
Russell Blong
doaj +4 more sources
Classifying global catastrophic risks [PDF]
We present a novel classification framework for severe global catastrophic risk scenarios. Extending beyond existing work that identifies individual risk scenarios, we propose analysing global catastrophic risks along three dimensions: the critical systems affected, global spread mechanisms, and prevention and mitigation failures.
Shahar Avin +2 more
exaly +5 more sources
Global catastrophic and existential risks communication scale [PDF]
Abstract Existential risks threaten the future of humanity, but they are difficult to measure. However, to communicate, prioritize and mitigate such risks it is important to estimate their relative significance. Risk probabilities are typically used, but for existential risks they are problematic due to ambiguity, and because quantitative ...
David Denkenberger, Alexey Turchin
exaly +7 more sources
Assessing natural global catastrophic risks. [PDF]
The risk of global catastrophe from natural sources may be significantly larger than previous analyses have found. In the study of global catastrophic risk (GCR), one line of thinking posits that deep human history renders natural GCRs insignificant. Essentially, the fact that natural hazards did not cause human extinction at any previous time makes it
Baum SD.
europepmc +3 more sources
Global policymakers and catastrophic risk [PDF]
AbstractThere is a rapidly developing literature on risks that threaten the whole of humanity, or a large part of it. Discussion is increasingly turning to how such risks can be governed. This paper arises from a study of those involved the governance of risks from emerging technologies, examining the perceptions of global catastrophic risk within the ...
Christopher Nathan, Keith Hyams
openaire +5 more sources
Inequalities in financial burden of tuberculosis among affected families across 19 low- and middle-income countries. [PDF]
Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major global public health problem, with majority of the cases occurring in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Despite its growing burden, cross-country evidence on inequalities in financial burden among affected ...
Gilbert Eshun +2 more
doaj +2 more sources
No Place to Hide? Regional Resilience and Vulnerability to Global Catastrophic Risk [PDF]
What places on Earth are most resilient to global catastrophic risk (GCR)? We provide the first study of what locations are more resilient against the impacts of nuclear war, near‐Earth objects, large‐magnitude volcanic eruptions, large‐scale ...
Florian Ulrich Jehn +7 more
doaj +2 more sources
Are There Real Global Catastrophic Biological Risks?
Biosecurity and biodefence (i.e. all countermeasures preventing the spread of a biological agent in the environment and population) are on the routine agenda of states and their militaries. Somewhat on the sidelines are the Global Catastrophic Biological
Aleš Macela, Vanda Boštíková
doaj +2 more sources
Evolution of alpha-Gal synthesis - a growing risk for alpha Gal syndrome [PDF]
Background Alpha-Gal syndrome (AGS) is a growing burden worldwide associated with arthropods and allergies with pathologies such as urticaria, digestive and anaphylactic reactions. These reactions commonly appear 2–6 h after consumption of mammalian meat
Rita Vaz-Rodrigues, José de la Fuente
doaj +2 more sources
Global Catastrophic Biological Risks: Toward a Working Definition [PDF]
The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security is working to analyze and deepen scientific dialogue regarding potential global catastrophic biological risks (GCBRs), in a continuation of its mission to reduce the consequences of epidemics and disasters.
Sanjana J Ravi +2 more
exaly +3 more sources

