The Framework for Assessing Changes To Sea-level (FACTS) v1.0: a platform for characterizing parametric and structural uncertainty in future global, relative, and extreme sea-level change [PDF]
Future sea-level rise projections are characterized by both quantifiable uncertainty and unquantifiable structural uncertainty. Thorough scientific assessment of sea-level rise projections requires analysis of both dimensions of uncertainty ...
R. E. Kopp +29 more
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Upper limit for sea level projections by 2100 [PDF]
We construct the probability density function of global sea level at 2100, estimating that sea level rises larger than 180 cm are less than 5% probable.
Grinsted, A., Jevrejeva, S., Moore, J.C.
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Measuring Global Mean Sea Level Changes With Surface Drifting Buoys [PDF]
AbstractCombining ocean model data and in situ Lagrangian data, I show that an array of surface drifting buoys tracked by a Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), such as the Global Drifter Program, could provide estimates of global mean sea level (GMSL) and its changes, including linear decadal trends.
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Underlying drivers of decade-long fluctuation in the global mean sea-level rise
Natural climate variability can mask the background trend of global mean sea-level (GMSL) caused by global warming. Recent advances in satellite measurements and ocean heat-content estimates have enabled the monitoring of GMSL budget components and ...
Hyeonsoo Cha +3 more
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The reversibility of sea level rise [PDF]
During the last century, global climate has been warming, and projections indicate that such a warming is likely to continue over coming decades. Most of the extra heat is stored in the ocean, resulting in thermal expansion of seawater and global mean ...
Bouttes, N., Gregory, J. M., Lowe, J. A.
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Reconstructing past global mean sea levels
Invited presentation at the "SP-Heritage" project meeting, San Remo, Italy (2-3 March 2023)
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Global mean thermosteric sea level projections by 2100 in CMIP6 climate models
Most of the excess energy stored in the climate system is taken up by the oceans leading to thermal expansion and sea level rise. Future sea level projections allow decision-makers to assess coastal risk, develop climate resilient communities and plan ...
Svetlana Jevrejeva +2 more
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Recent progress in understanding and projecting regional and global mean sea-level change [PDF]
Considerable progress has been made in understanding the present and future regional and global sea level in the 2 years since the publication of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
A Cazenave +143 more
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Three hundred eighty thousand year long stable isotope and faunal records from the Red Sea : influence of global sea level change on hydrography [PDF]
Stable isotope and faunal records from the central Red Sea show high-amplitude oscillations for the past 380,000 years. Positive δ18O anomalies indicate periods of significant salt buildup during periods of lowered sea level when water mass exchange with
Ahuva Almogi-Labin +53 more
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Mechanisms of Global-Mean Steric Sea Level Change
AbstractGlobal-mean sea level change partly reflects volumetric expansion of the oceans because of density change, otherwise known as global-mean steric sea level change. Owing to nonlinearities in the equation of state of seawater, the nature of processes contributing to recent observed global-mean steric sea level changes has not been well understood.
Rui M. Ponte, Christopher G. Piecuch
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