Results 51 to 60 of about 3,144 (140)

Financial Time Series Uncertainty: A Review of Probabilistic AI Applications

Journal of Economic Surveys, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Probabilistic machine learning models offer a distinct advantage over traditional deterministic approaches by quantifying both epistemic uncertainty (stemming from limited data or model knowledge) and aleatoric uncertainty (due to inherent randomness in the data), along with full distributional forecasts.
Sivert Eggen, Tord Johan Espe, Kristoffer Grude, Morten Risstad, Rickard Sandberg   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Monetary Policy–Commodities Nexus: A Survey

Journal of Economic Surveys, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This survey synthesizes evidence on the bidirectional links between commodity markets and monetary policy. On the commodities‐to‐policy side, we review how shocks to energy, food, and metals pass through to inflation, inflation expectations, economic activity, and financial stability in state‐dependent ways that vary by shock type, exposure ...
Martin T. Bohl, Niklas Humann, Pierre L. Siklos   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Make Social Media Social Again: How Platform Interoperability Can Fix Social Media and Future‐Proof Democracy

Journal of Management Studies, EarlyView.
Abstract This essay argues that social media document (rather than fuel) the decline of political democracy while helping revive organizational democracy, including through ‘decentralized autonomous organizations’ (DAOs). Yet, despite giving everyone a voice and the ability to organize across borders, social media could over‐concentrate power if, in ...
J.P. Vergne
wiley   +1 more source

Robust CDF‐Filtering of a Location Parameter

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper introduces a novel framework for designing robust filters associated with signal plus noise models having symmetric observation density. The filters are obtained by a recursion where the innovation term is a transform of the cumulative distribution function of the residuals.
Leopoldo Catania, Andrew C. Harvey, Alessandra Luati   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Online Jump and Kink Detection in Segmented Linear Regression: Statistical Optimality Meets Computational Efficiency

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We consider the problem of sequential (online) estimation of a single change point in a piecewise linear regression model under a Gaussian setup. We demonstrate that certain CUSUM‐type statistics attain the minimax optimal rates for localizing the change point.
Annika Hüselitz, Housen Li, Axel Munk
wiley   +1 more source

Beyond species means – the intraspecific contribution to global wood density variation

New Phytologist, EarlyView.
Summary Wood density is central for estimating vegetation carbon storage and a plant functional trait of great ecological and evolutionary importance. However, the global extent of wood density variation is unclear, especially at the intraspecific level. We assembled the most comprehensive wood density collection to date, including 109 626 records from
Fabian Jörg Fischer, Jérôme Chave, Amy Zanne, Tommaso Jucker, Alex Fajardo, Adeline Fayolle, Renato Augusto Ferreira de Lima, Ghislain Vieilledent, Hans Beeckman, Wannes Hubau, Tom De Mil, Daniel Wallenus, Ana María Aldana, Esteban Alvarez‐Dávila, Luciana F. Alves, Deborah M. G. Apgaua, Fátima Arcanjo, Jean‐François Bastin, Andrii Bilous, Philippe Birnbaum, Volodymyr Blyshchyk, Joli Borah, Vanessa Boukili, J. Julio Camarero, Luisa Casas, Roberto Cazzolla Gatti, Jeffrey Q. Chambers, Ezequiel Chimbioputo Fabiano, Brendan Choat, Georgina Conti, Will Cornwell, Javid Ahmad Dar, Ashesh Kumar Das, Magnus Dobler, Dao Dougabka, David P. Edwards, Robert Evans, Daniel Falster, Philip Fearnside, Olivier Flores, Nikolaos Fyllas, Jean Gérard, Rosa C. Goodman, Daniel Guibal, L. Francisco Henao‐Diaz, Vincent Hervé, Peter Hietz, Jürgen Homeier, Thomas Ibanez, Jugo Ilic, Steven Jansen, Rinku Moni Kalita, Tanaka Kenzo, Liana Kindermann, Subashree Kothandaraman, Martyna Kotowska, Yasuhiro Kubota, Patrick Langbour, James Lawson, André Luiz Alves de Lima, Roman Mathias Link, Anja Linstädter, Rosana López, Cate Macinnis‐Ng, Luiz Fernando S. Magnago, Adam R. Martin, Ashley M. Matheny, James K. McCarthy, Regis B. Miller, Arun Jyoti Nath, Bruce Walker Nelson, Marco Njana, Euler Melo Nogueira, Alexandre Oliveira, Rafael Oliveira, Mark Olson, Yusuke Onoda, Keryn Paul, Daniel Piotto, Phil Radtke, Onja Razafindratsima, Tahiana Ramananantoandro, Jennifer Read, Sarah Richardson, Enrique G. de la Riva, Oris Rodríguez‐Reyes, Samir G. Rolim, Victor Rolo, Julieta A. Rosell, Roberto Salguero‐Gómez, Nadia S. Santini, Bernhard Schuldt, Luitgard Schwendenmann, Arne Sellin, Timothy Staples, Pablo R. Stevenson, Somaiah Sundarapandian, Masha T. van der Sande, Bernard Thibaut, David Yue Phin Tng, José Marcelo Domingues Torezan, Boris Villanueva, Aaron Weiskittel, Jessie Wells, S. Joseph Wright, Kasia Zieminska   +105 more
wiley   +1 more source

Bonds on the Ballot: What Voters (Don't) Know About Debt Financing and Why It Matters

Public Budgeting &Finance, EarlyView.
Abstract American subnational governments commonly require voters to approve bond proposals, reflecting historical concerns about legislative shortsightedness. Yet voters need an understanding of how bond financing works to make choices consistent with preferences. Existing literature makes it unclear whether voters have such knowledge.
Shanna Pearson‐Merkowitz, Joshua J. Dyck, Edward L. Lascher Jr., Corey Lang   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Partisans' evaluations of unconstitutional legislative activity

Policy Studies Journal, EarlyView.
Abstract In this research note, we examine whether public evaluations of a policy depend on the constitutionality of the process by which that policy was passed. We observe whether people's views depend on accusations that a policy was passed in violation of a state constitution's single subject rule, and whether the effect of that accusation depends ...
Kevin K. Banda, John Cluverius, Justin H. Kirkland   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Powers and Practices in Labor Standards Enforcement

Regulation &Governance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Wage theft remains a pervasive problem internationally and within the United States. In response, worker advocates have sought stronger laws to deter violations and promote compliance. Yet formal authority alone may be insufficient; labor departments often fail to use the full extent of their legal authority to conduct vigorous enforcement ...
Daniel J. Galvin, Hana Shepherd, Jenn Round, Jake Barnes, Janice Fine   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Corporate opacity and net premiums written flows: Evidence from US property‐liability insurers

Risk Management and Insurance Review, EarlyView.
Abstract This paper investigates the relationship between corporate opacity and policyholders' purchasing behavior in US property‐liability insurers. We find that policyholders are more willing to purchase policies from less opaque insurers. In addition, the financial tail risk exacerbates the negative relationship between opacity and insurance ...
Gene Lai, Zifen Zeng
wiley   +1 more source