Can systematic skewness factors predict future interest rates: Evidence from China. [PDF]
PLoS OneLiang X, Sun Y.
europepmc +1 more source
A Deep Learning Framework for Forecasting Medium‐Term Covariance in Multiasset Portfolios
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Forecasting the covariance matrix of asset returns is central to portfolio construction, risk management, and asset pricing. However, most existing models struggle at medium‐term horizons, several weeks to months, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics prevail.
Pedro Reis, Ana Paula Serra, João Gama
wiley +1 more source
Exploring Hedging Devices in Scientific Research Papers: A Content Analysis Study of the 'Medical Journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran'. [PDF]
Med J Islam Repub IranHamidi H, Najafi Sarem S, Lotfi AH.
europepmc +1 more source
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Sustainability has become an important factor shaping financial markets and investor behavior. This paper examines the relationship between sustainability indices and Central European stock markets using a time–frequency approach. Wavelet coherence is employed to capture time‐varying co‐movements between sustainability indices and stock market
Zuzana Janková +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Co-movement between stock markets in advanced economies and Africa in times of uncertainty: A time-frequency domain approach. [PDF]
PLoS OneTetteh JE, Owusu Junior P.
europepmc +1 more source
Oil Futures Prices, Inflation Expectations, and Bond Risk Premiums
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT By decomposing West Texas Intermediate futures price changes into structural supply and demand shocks, this paper shows that dissecting the oil price significantly improves inflation forecasts. Empirically, demand‐driven shocks predict a negative real bond risk premium but a positive inflation risk premium; these opposing effects result in an ...
Haibo Jiang
wiley +1 more source
Geometric-Mean Fitness Does Not Correspond to Long-Term Survival Probability. [PDF]
Ecol EvolOkabe T, Yoshimura J, Ito H.
europepmc +1 more source
The Role of Price‐Volatility Cojumps in Volatility Forecasting
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether simultaneous jumps in prices and volatility improve volatility forecasting. Using up‐to‐date high‐frequency S&P 500 and VIX data, we identify price‐volatility cojumps at the intraday granularity and construct upside, downside, and asymmetric measures.
Kefu Liao
wiley +1 more source
Uncertainty communication, trust and health promotion. [PDF]
Health Promot Chronic Dis Prev CanGretton JD, Mastroianni A.
europepmc +1 more source
On the Comovement of Contango and Backwardation Across Futures Commodity Markets
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We examine the time‐varying nature of the comovement of the slope of the futures curve in major agricultural, metals and energy commodity futures markets in a Global Vector Autoregressive model. We find significant comovement between the slopes, indicating the co‐existence of backwardation and contango in many seemingly unrelated commodity ...
Angelo Luisi +2 more
wiley +1 more source