Results 201 to 210 of about 37,486 (312)

Modeling farmer responses to reservoir operation policies using agent based analysis of risk behavior and irrigation adoption. [PDF]

Sci Rep
Ebrahimi E, Shourian M.
europepmc   +1 more source

CASH ETHANOL CROSS-HEDGING OPPORTUNITIES

Increased use of alternative fuels and low commodity prices have contributed to the recent expansion of the ethanol industry. As with any competitive industry, there exists some level of output price risk in the form of volatility.
Franken, Jason R.V., Parcell, Joseph L.
core  

The Impact of Uncertainty on Forecasting the US Economy

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the predictive value of uncertainty measures for key macroeconomic indicators across multiple forecast horizons. We evaluate how different uncertainty proxies—economic policy uncertainty (EPU), VIX, geopolitical risk, and measures of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty—enhance forecast accuracy for industrial production,
Angelica Ghiselli
wiley   +1 more source

Intergenerational effects of dietary changes on trait means and variance. [PDF]

Biol Lett
Lee M, Tran K, Castillo Y, Walsh MR.
europepmc   +1 more source

IMPLICATIONS OF CROP YIELD AND REVENUE INSURANCE FOR PRODUCER HEDGING

New types of crop insurance have expanded the tools from which crop producers may choose to manage risk. Little is known regarding how these products interact with futures and options. This analysis examines optimal futures and put ratios in the presence
Coble, Keith H., Zuniga, Manuel, Heifner, Richard G.   +2 more
core  

Forecasting Volatility of Commodity, Currency, and Stock Markets: Evidence From Markov‐Switching Multifractal Models

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper adopts a bivariate Markov‐switching multifractal (BMSM) model to reexamine comovement in SV between commodity, foreign exchange (FX), and stock markets. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis understanding volatility linkages and the correlation structure between these markets becomes very important for risk analysts, portfolio
Ruipeng Liu, Mawuli Segnon, Oguzhan Cepni, Rangan Gupta   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Evaluating large language models for evidence-based clinical question answering. [PDF]

Patterns (N Y)
Wang C, Chen Y.
europepmc   +1 more source

Predicting EU Emissions Allowance Prices Using Macroeconomic Indicators and Hybrid AI Models

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Predicting carbon allowance prices has grown more crucial in relation to carbon market regulation, financial strategy, and environmental policy development. This study examines a hybrid forecasting system that combines deep learning with ensemble machine learning models to forecast the price fluctuations of EU Emissions Allowance (EUAs) within
Saptarshi Ganguly, Pooja Sengupta, Divya Aggarwal   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Variable temperature processing by plasmodesmata regulates robust bud dormancy release. [PDF]

Nat Commun
Pandey SK, Moraes TS, Nair A, Aryal B, Azeez A, Miskolczi P, Maucort G, Cordelières FP, Brocard L, Davis GV, Dromiack H, Khanapurkar S, Walker SI, Bassel GW, Bayer EM, Bhalerao RP.   +15 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Time‐Varying Skewness–Kurtosis Dynamics in Bitcoin Markets

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the relationship between skewness and kurtosis in Bitcoin spot and futures markets using high‐frequency data. We document a strong convex skewness–kurtosis relationship consistent with theoretical moment restrictions. Trading activity is positively associated with realized kurtosis, particularly in futures markets, though ...
Ariston Karagiorgis, Antonis Ballis
wiley   +1 more source