Results 51 to 60 of about 458 (133)
Geometry‐Aware Alignment and Comparison of Hierarchical Morse Complexes with Applications
Computer Graphics Forum, EarlyView.Abstract Scalar fields derived from 3D X‐ray CT scans of samples undergoing ex situ processes, such as thermal aging, chemical etching, or mechanical stress, pose unique challenges for characterizing similarities and differences across acquisitions. Typically, a sample A (source) is imaged, removed, and subjected to experimental conditions that alter ...
Aniketh Venkat +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Macroeconomic forecasting during recessions and expansions in the US and the euro area
Economic Inquiry, EarlyView.Abstract This study systematically evaluates forecasting performance of 11 Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) and 2 Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) models during recessions and expansions in the US and the euro area. Results show that no single model dominates: parsimonious models perform well in stable periods and at short horizons ...
Jan Čapek +2 more
wiley +1 more source
To Grandmother's House We Go: Informal Childcare and Female Labor Mobility
International Economic Review, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We document how childcare costs and the location of extended family influence the labor supply and mobility of US women. Women return to their home locations immediately before fertility events, suggesting that informal childcare needs may motivate home migration. Women who live near their parents have lower child earnings penalties.
Garrett Anstreicher, Joanna Venator
wiley +1 more source
A joint model of cost and churn for the insurance industry
Journal of Risk and Insurance, EarlyView.Abstract In insurance markets, claim costs are highly variable, heavy‐tailed, and difficult to predict. At the same time, policyholder retention and lapse behavior (customer churn) are critical determinants of long‐term profitability and solvency. Most existing models in the literature treat claim costs and lapses as independent, overlooking potential ...
Yumo Dong +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Robust CDF‐Filtering of a Location Parameter
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper introduces a novel framework for designing robust filters associated with signal plus noise models having symmetric observation density. The filters are obtained by a recursion where the innovation term is a transform of the cumulative distribution function of the residuals.
Leopoldo Catania +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Robust Estimation and Inference for Time‐Varying Unconditional Volatility
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We derive a general and robust estimator of a large class of parametric specifications of time‐varying unconditional volatility of financial returns, both univariate and multivariate, and establish the Consistency and Asymptotic Normality (CAN) of the estimator.
Adam Lee +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Testing Distributional Granger Causality With Entropic Optimal Transport
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We develop a novel nonparametric test for Granger causality in distribution based on entropic optimal transport. Unlike classical mean‐based approaches, the proposed method directly compares the full conditional distributions of a response variable with and without the history of a candidate predictor.
Tao Wang
wiley +1 more source
Multiple Chains Markov Switching Vector Autoregression
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Both the U.S. stock and bond returns exhibit distinct Markovian regimes. However, because these regimes display limited coherence, conventional models typically require highly parameterized systems to adequately capture their joint distribution.
Leopoldo Catania
wiley +1 more source
Penalized Convex Estimation in Dynamic Location Models
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper studies L1$$ {L}^1 $$‐penalized estimation for location models yt=mt+ϵt$$ {y}_t={m}_t+{\epsilon}_t $$, where mt$$ {m}_t $$ is defined by a possibly non‐Markovian recursion and ϵt$$ {\epsilon}_t $$ is a martingale difference sequence with possibly time‐varying conditional variance.
Reda Alami Chentoufi
wiley +1 more source
Reinforcement Learning for Jump‐Diffusions, With Financial Applications
Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We study continuous‐time reinforcement learning (RL) for stochastic control in which system dynamics are governed by jump‐diffusion processes. We formulate an entropy‐regularized exploratory control problem with stochastic policies to capture the exploration–exploitation balance essential for RL.
Xuefeng Gao, Lingfei Li, Xun Yu Zhou
wiley +1 more source