Results 81 to 90 of about 17,583 (186)
Higher order Hessian structures on manifolds
18 pages, no figures, no ...
openaire +2 more sources
Macroeconomic forecasting during recessions and expansions in the US and the euro area
Abstract This study systematically evaluates forecasting performance of 11 Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) and 2 Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) models during recessions and expansions in the US and the euro area. Results show that no single model dominates: parsimonious models perform well in stable periods and at short horizons ...
Jan Čapek +2 more
wiley +1 more source
To Grandmother's House We Go: Informal Childcare and Female Labor Mobility
ABSTRACT We document how childcare costs and the location of extended family influence the labor supply and mobility of US women. Women return to their home locations immediately before fertility events, suggesting that informal childcare needs may motivate home migration. Women who live near their parents have lower child earnings penalties.
Garrett Anstreicher, Joanna Venator
wiley +1 more source
From gateway to value ladder—The curious case of online mutual aid in China
Abstract This study examines how InsurTech‐enabled information provision, specifically the disclosure of claimant information previously unavailable in conventional insurance, influences individuals' insurance uptake. We leverage Mutual Aid (MA) platforms as a natural context to examine how socially framed loss information, peer influence, and salience
Ze Chen +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Robust CDF‐Filtering of a Location Parameter
ABSTRACT This paper introduces a novel framework for designing robust filters associated with signal plus noise models having symmetric observation density. The filters are obtained by a recursion where the innovation term is a transform of the cumulative distribution function of the residuals.
Leopoldo Catania +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Testing Distributional Granger Causality With Entropic Optimal Transport
ABSTRACT We develop a novel nonparametric test for Granger causality in distribution based on entropic optimal transport. Unlike classical mean‐based approaches, the proposed method directly compares the full conditional distributions of a response variable with and without the history of a candidate predictor.
Tao Wang
wiley +1 more source
Multiple Chains Markov Switching Vector Autoregression
ABSTRACT Both the U.S. stock and bond returns exhibit distinct Markovian regimes. However, because these regimes display limited coherence, conventional models typically require highly parameterized systems to adequately capture their joint distribution.
Leopoldo Catania
wiley +1 more source
Reinforcement Learning for Jump‐Diffusions, With Financial Applications
ABSTRACT We study continuous‐time reinforcement learning (RL) for stochastic control in which system dynamics are governed by jump‐diffusion processes. We formulate an entropy‐regularized exploratory control problem with stochastic policies to capture the exploration–exploitation balance essential for RL.
Xuefeng Gao, Lingfei Li, Xun Yu Zhou
wiley +1 more source
The Pontryagin Forms of Hessian Manifolds [PDF]
We show that Hessian manifolds of dimensions 4 and above must have vanishing Pontryagin forms. This gives a topological obstruction to the existence of Hessian metrics. We find an additional explicit curvature identity for Hessian 4-manifolds. By contrast, we show that all analytic Riemannian 2-manifolds are Hessian.
Armstrong, J., Amari, S.
openaire
Cointegration in a MIDAS Regression
ABSTRACT Mixed data sampling (MIDAS) cointegration models are used to analyse variables observed at different frequencies. In this paper, we start from an assumed autoregressive distributed lag (ADL) model for high‐frequency observations, and derive the resulting representation when the dependent variable is only observed at a lower frequency.
H. Peter Boswijk, Philip Hans Franses
wiley +1 more source

