Results 41 to 50 of about 292 (137)

Clues of ancient incomplete lineage sorting during bivalve evolution undermine support for Heterodonta

open access: yesCladistics, EarlyView.
Abstract A long‐standing challenge in phylogenomics has been the resolution of relationships originated from ancient radiations. In these cases, phenomena such as incomplete lineage sorting can increase the support for conflicting resolutions. Most of the diversity in the Class Bivalvia originated during an Ordovician radiation; indeed, several deep ...
Alessandro Formaggioni   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

A joint model of cost and churn for the insurance industry

open access: yesJournal of Risk and Insurance, EarlyView.
Abstract In insurance markets, claim costs are highly variable, heavy‐tailed, and difficult to predict. At the same time, policyholder retention and lapse behavior (customer churn) are critical determinants of long‐term profitability and solvency. Most existing models in the literature treat claim costs and lapses as independent, overlooking potential ...
Yumo Dong   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Cross and Conflict: How Do Christians Impact Protest Dynamics?

open access: yesJournal for the Scientific Study of Religion, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study examines the relationship between Christian actors, practices, and sacred sites in US protests and demonstrations, focusing on how political ideology shapes conflict outcomes. Using event‐level data from the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), the analysis explores 63,000 protest events from 2020 to 2024 ...
Joel Day
wiley   +1 more source

Robust CDF‐Filtering of a Location Parameter

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper introduces a novel framework for designing robust filters associated with signal plus noise models having symmetric observation density. The filters are obtained by a recursion where the innovation term is a transform of the cumulative distribution function of the residuals.
Leopoldo Catania   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Testing Distributional Granger Causality With Entropic Optimal Transport

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We develop a novel nonparametric test for Granger causality in distribution based on entropic optimal transport. Unlike classical mean‐based approaches, the proposed method directly compares the full conditional distributions of a response variable with and without the history of a candidate predictor.
Tao Wang
wiley   +1 more source

Parametric Time‐Variation in the Unconditional Volatility: Estimation and Inference

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose modeling time‐variation in the unconditional volatility by augmenting the standard GARCH model by a deterministic time‐varying intercept. The model, called the additive time‐varying (ATV‐)GARCH model, can be interpreted as a reduced form of a model including covariates and can be derived from a multiplicative decomposition of ...
Niklas Ahlgren   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Reinforcement Learning for Jump‐Diffusions, With Financial Applications

open access: yesMathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study continuous‐time reinforcement learning (RL) for stochastic control in which system dynamics are governed by jump‐diffusion processes. We formulate an entropy‐regularized exploratory control problem with stochastic policies to capture the exploration–exploitation balance essential for RL.
Xuefeng Gao, Lingfei Li, Xun Yu Zhou
wiley   +1 more source

Stochastic Gradient Descent in High Dimensions for Multi‐Spiked Tensor PCA

open access: yesCommunications on Pure and Applied Mathematics, Volume 79, Issue 10, Page 2291-2369, October 2026.
ABSTRACT We study the high‐dimensional dynamics of online stochastic gradient descent (SGD) for the multi‐spiked tensor model. This multi‐index model arises from the tensor principal component analysis (PCA) problem with multiple spikes, where the goal is to estimate the unknown signal vectors within the N$N$‐dimensional unit sphere through maximum ...
Gérard Ben Arous   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

PyQuiverHS: A Web Tool for Computing Isotope Effects

open access: yesJournal of Physical Organic Chemistry, Volume 39, Issue 10, October 2026.
PyQuiverHS has been developed as a freely available and open‐source web tool, hosted at www.isotope‐effects.com for calculating variable‐temperature kinetic and equilibrium isotope effects with Bigeleisen–Mayer and enthalpy–entropy partitioning.
Gianmarc Grazioli   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Bayesian Inference for the Automultinomial Model With an Application to Landcover Data

open access: yesEnvironmetrics, Volume 37, Issue 6, September 2026.
ABSTRACT Multicategory lattice data arise in a wide variety of disciplines such as image analysis, biology, and forestry. We consider modeling such data with the automultinomial model, which can be viewed as a natural extension of the autologistic model to multicategory responses, or equivalently as an extension of the Potts model that incorporates ...
Maria Paula Duenas‐Herrera   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

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