Results 51 to 60 of about 482,580 (177)

Education and the Shadow Economy: A Panel Cointegration Analysis

Kyklos, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study examines the impact of education on the shadow economy across 132 countries over the period 1991–2020. To this end, panel cointegration and panel error‐correction models are employed. The results of the panel cointegration tests indicate a stable long‐term relationship among the selected variables.
Salvatore Ciucci
wiley   +1 more source

Econometrics at the Extreme: From Quantile Regression to QFAVAR1

Journal of Economic Surveys, Volume 40, Issue 3, Page 1672-1686, July 2026.
ABSTRACT This paper surveys quantile modelling from its theoretical origins to current advances. We organize the literature and present core econometric formulations and estimation methods for: (i) cross‐sectional quantile regression; (ii) quantile time series models and their time series properties; (iii) quantile vector autoregressions for ...
Stéphane Goutte, Konstantinos N. Konstantakis, Dimitris Konstantios, Panayotis G. Michaelides, Arsenios‐Georgios N. Prelorentzos   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Permanent Revenue in an Energy‐Exporting Economy: A New Test for Fiscal Equilibrium

Review of Development Economics, Volume 30, Issue 2, Page 1102-1119, May 2026.
ABSTRACT Fiscal disequilibrium arises when permanent expenditures (PEXP) exceed permanent revenue (PREV), a frequent risk in energy‐exporting economies reliant on volatile windfall revenues. However, existing research lacks a clear measure of these concepts and an empirical test for fiscal equilibrium.
Akeem Rahaman, Scott Mark Romeo Mahadeo
wiley   +1 more source

The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Trade between South Africa and her Top Trading Partners: Fresh Insights from ARDL and Quantile ARDL Models

Managing Global Transitions
We investigate the impact of exchange rate volatility on exports and imports between South Africa and its main trading partners, namely the United States and China, across 22 import and export industries.
Mashilana Ngondo, Andrew Phiri
doaj   +1 more source

Combined Effects of Fat‐Tail and Spread Forecasting on Pairs Trading: A Hybrid Model Based on Integrating VAR With GRU Models

Journal of Forecasting, Volume 45, Issue 3, Page 1110-1128, April 2026.
ABSTRACT Pairs trading, a popular algorithmic trading strategy, exploits the short‐term price difference (spread) between two comoving assets. Empirically, the spread distribution of most assets in pairs trading has a fat‐tail characteristic that does not follow a normal distribution.
Yuhee Kwon, Youngsoo Choi
wiley   +1 more source

Oil price shocks and macroeconomic activity: an application of hidden cointegration

, 2003
Bibliography: p.
openaire   +2 more sources

The Monetary Policy–Commodities Nexus: A Survey

Journal of Economic Surveys, Volume 40, Issue 2, Page 1050-1082, April 2026.
ABSTRACT This survey synthesizes evidence on the bidirectional links between commodity markets and monetary policy. On the commodities‐to‐policy side, we review how shocks to energy, food, and metals pass through to inflation, inflation expectations, economic activity, and financial stability in state‐dependent ways that vary by shock type, exposure ...
Martin T. Bohl, Niklas Humann, Pierre L. Siklos   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Information‐Driven Modeling of Energy Markets: An Unbalanced Wasserstein Barycenter Approach

Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, Volume 42, Issue 2, March/April 2026.
ABSTRACT A novel methodology is proposed for jointly modeling the price dynamics of natural gas and electricity by integrating graph‐based Machine Learning and optimal transport theory. The framework combines visibility graph embeddings with the Wasserstein barycenter to uncover latent structures and asymmetric dependencies between the two ...
Carlo Mari, Emiliano Mari, Cristiano Baldassari   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting Carbon Prices: A Literature Review

Journal of Forecasting, Volume 45, Issue 2, Page 496-529, March 2026.
ABSTRACT Carbon emissions trading is utilized by a growing number of states as a significant tool for addressing greenhouse gas emissions (GHG), global warming problem and the climate crisis. Accurate forecasting of carbon prices is essential for effective policy design and investment strategies in climate change mitigation.
Konstantinos Bisiotis, Dimitris Christopoulos, George Tzougas   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Looking Back to 1991 Economic Forecasting: Introducing Cointegration

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Volume 88, Issue 1, Page 1-21, February 2026.
ABSTRACT Originally written in 1991 to advance the formal analysis of macroeconomic forecasting models and methods following the development of cointegration, alternative forecasting devices, conditional and unconditional forecasts, and data accuracy are considered.
David F. Hendry
wiley   +1 more source