Advanced fractional soliton solutions of the Joseph-Egri equation via Tanh-Coth and Jacobi function methods. [PDF]
Shakeel K +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France
ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Nonlinear KCCA in fMRI activation analysis: Self-supervised optimization and robust back-reconstruction. [PDF]
Han C, Yang Z, Zhuang X, Cordes D.
europepmc +1 more source
Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares
ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley +1 more source
Hamiltonian simulation for nonlinear partial differential equation by Schrödingerization. [PDF]
Sasaki S, Endo K, Muramatsu M.
europepmc +1 more source
Point and Risk estImation Using an enSemble of Models for Nowcasting: PRISM‐Now
ABSTRACT We propose PRISM‐Now, a novel ensemble forecasting system for near‐term GDP projection. Recognizing that relevant economic information evolves over time, we treat forecasts from multiple base models as draws from a mixture distribution of “good” and “bad” estimates, whose composition changes continuously and cannot be identified ex ante.
Beomseok Seo, Hyungbae Cho, Dongjae Lee
wiley +1 more source
Fractional dynamics and optical soliton propagation in mono-mode fibers via the Fokas system. [PDF]
Iqbal N +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Predicting EU Emissions Allowance Prices Using Macroeconomic Indicators and Hybrid AI Models
ABSTRACT Predicting carbon allowance prices has grown more crucial in relation to carbon market regulation, financial strategy, and environmental policy development. This study examines a hybrid forecasting system that combines deep learning with ensemble machine learning models to forecast the price fluctuations of EU Emissions Allowance (EUAs) within
Saptarshi Ganguly +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Modulation instability analysis and deriving soliton solutions of new nonlocal Lakshmanan-Porserzian-Daniel equation. [PDF]
Rabie WB, Abbas W, Ramadan ME, Ahmed HM.
europepmc +1 more source
Operating Capacity, Pricing and Supply Elasticity in Container Shipping Markets
ABSTRACT We investigate the channels through which changes in operating capacity influence freight rates in the container shipping market using a novel dataset to create an operating capacity index at the shipping‐route level. Our analysis reveals that when supply elasticity is low, an increase in operating capacity tends to drive freight rates upward,
Cong Sui +3 more
wiley +1 more source

