Results 171 to 180 of about 19,610 (266)

On the Existence of One‐Sided Representations for the Generalised Dynamic Factor Model

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the Generalised Dynamic Factor Model (GDFM) and show that the dynamic common component, that is, the common component of the GDFM, can be expressed using only current and past observations under mild assumptions. Specifically, we require (i) the dynamic common component to be purely non‐deterministic and (ii) the exclusion of ...
Philipp Gersing
wiley   +1 more source

Band‐Pass Filtering With High‐Dimensional Time Series. A Synthetic Indicator of the Medium‐to‐Long Run Component of Growth

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The paper deals with the construction of a synthetic indicator of economic growth, obtained by projecting a quarterly measure of aggregate economic activity, namely gross domestic product (GDP), into the space spanned by a finite number of smooth principal components, representative of the medium‐to‐long‐run component of economic growth of a ...
Alessandro Giovannelli   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Testing Distributional Granger Causality With Entropic Optimal Transport

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We develop a novel nonparametric test for Granger causality in distribution based on entropic optimal transport. Unlike classical mean‐based approaches, the proposed method directly compares the full conditional distributions of a response variable with and without the history of a candidate predictor.
Tao Wang
wiley   +1 more source

Sparse Causal Dynamic Linear Regression

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We develop a sparse causal dynamic regression framework for long multivariate time series. With very long time series, the potentially large number of lags and leads in a dynamic regression model often makes time‐domain estimation numerically unstable or intractable.
Rui Huang, Kung‐Sik Chan
wiley   +1 more source

Measure‐valued processes for energy markets

open access: yesMathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.
Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

The fundamental theorem of asset pricing with and without transaction costs

open access: yesMathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 567-609, April 2025.
Abstract We prove a version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) in continuous time that is based on the strict no‐arbitrage condition and that is applicable to both frictionless markets and markets with proportional transaction costs. We consider a market with a single risky asset whose ask price process is higher than or equal to its ...
Christoph Kühn
wiley   +1 more source

Optimal Portfolio Choice With Cross‐Impact Propagators

open access: yesMathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We consider a class of optimal portfolio choice problems in continuous time where the agent's transactions create both transient cross‐impact driven by a matrix‐valued Volterra propagator, as well as temporary price impact. We formulate this problem as the maximization of a revenue‐risk functional, where the agent also exploits available ...
Eduardo Abi Jaber   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

A beneficial root endophyte buffers natural variation in pathogen susceptibility across Arabidopsis accessions

open access: yesNew Phytologist, EarlyView.
Beneficial symbionts act as ecological stabilizers that mitigate differential pathogen susceptibility within natural plant populations. Summary Host genetic diversity shapes pathogen susceptibility within plant populations, raising the question of whether beneficial root microbes can buffer these differences.
Natalie Peltz   +13 more
wiley   +1 more source

Inequality of Opportunity in Wealth: Levels, Trends and Drivers in Germany

open access: yesOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper studies inequality of opportunity (IOp) in individual net wealth in Germany from 2002 to 2019 using the Socio‐Economic Panel (SOEP). Applying the ex‐ante IOp framework, we quantify the share of wealth inequality attributable to immutable circumstances and benchmark it against IOp in gross labour earnings.
Daniel Graeber   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

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