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Implied Correlation from VaR [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2007
Value at risk (VaR) is a risk measure that has been widely implemented by financial institutions. This paper measures the correlation among asset price changes implied from VaR calculation. Empirical results using US and UK equity indexes show that implied correlation is not constant but tends to be higher for events in the left tails (crashes) than in
Cotter, John, Longin, François
core   +8 more sources

Implied basket correlation dynamics [PDF]

open access: yesStatistics and Risk Modeling, 2016
Abstract Equity basket correlation can be estimated both using the physical measure from stock prices, and also using the risk neutral measure from option prices. The difference between the two estimates motivates a so-called “dispersion strategy”.
Wolfgang Karl Härdle
exaly   +7 more sources

Valuing bets and hedges: Implications for the construct of risk preference [PDF]

open access: yesJudgment and Decision Making, 2018
Risk attitudes implied by valuations of risk-increasing assets depart markedly from those implied by valuations of risk-reducing assets. For instance, many are unwilling to pay the expected value for a risky asset or for its perfect hedge.
Shane Frederick   +3 more
doaj   +2 more sources

A framework for robust measurement of implied correlation [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 2013
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Daniël Linders, Wim Schoutens
openaire   +4 more sources

Estimating Forward-Looking Stock Correlations from Risk Factors

open access: yesMathematics, 2022
This study provides fully mathematically and economically feasible solutions to estimating implied correlation matrices in equity markets. Factor analysis is combined with option data to receive ex ante beliefs for cross-sectional correlations. Necessary
Wolfgang Schadner, Joshua Traut
doaj   +1 more source

A Lower Bound for the Volatility Swap in the Lognormal SABR Model

open access: yesAxioms, 2023
In the short time to maturity limit, it is proved that for the conditionally lognormal SABR model the zero vanna implied volatility is a lower bound for the volatility swap strike.
Elisa Alòs   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Analysis of Option Trading Strategies Based on the Relation of Implied and Realized S&P500 Volatilities [PDF]

open access: yesACRN Journal of Finance and Risk Perspectives, 2021
In this paper, we examine the performance of certain short option trading strategies on the S&P500 with backtesting based on historical option price data. Some of these strategies show significant outperformance in relation to the S&P500 index.
Alexander Brunhuemer   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

The predictive power of stock market's expectations volatility: A financial synchronization phenomenon.

open access: yesPLoS ONE, 2021
We explore the use of implied volatility indices as a tool for estimate changes in the synchronization of stock markets. Specifically, we assess the implied stock market's volatility indices' predictive power on synchronizing global equity indices ...
Nicolás Magner   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Quantum correlations which imply causation [PDF]

open access: yesScientific Reports, 2015
AbstractIn ordinary, non-relativistic, quantum physics, time enters only as a parameter and not as an observable: a state of a physical system is specified at a given time and then evolved according to the prescribed dynamics. While the state can and usually does, extend across all space, it is only defined at one instant of time.
Fitzsimons, J.F, Jones, J.A, Vedral, V
openaire   +4 more sources

When Correlation Implies Causation in Multisensory Integration [PDF]

open access: yesCurrent Biology, 2012
Inferring which signals have a common underlying cause, and hence should be integrated, represents a primary challenge for a perceptual system dealing with multiple sensory inputs [1-3]. This challenge is often referred to as the correspondence problem or causal inference.
Parise, Cesare   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

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