Results 11 to 20 of about 1,687,826 (388)

Role of the Global Volatility Indices in Predicting the Volatility Index of the Indian Economy

open access: yesRisks, 2022
Movements in the volatility index of the Indian economy are influenced by global volatility indices (fear index). This study evaluates the influence of various global implied volatility indices in forecasting the day-to-day binary movements in the ...
Akhilesh Prasad, Priti Bakhshi
doaj   +1 more source

Implied volatility directional forecasting: a machine learning approach

open access: yesQuantitative finance (Print), 2021
This study investigates whether the direction of U.S. implied volatility, VIX index, can be forecast. Multiple forecasts are generated based on standard econometric models, but, more importantly, on several machine learning techniques.
Spyridon D. Vrontos   +2 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Forecasting realized volatility: The role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns, and volatility of realized volatility

open access: yesJournal of futures markets, 2021
We examine the role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns and volatility of realized volatility in forecasting realized volatility by extending the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model to include these additional variables.
Dimos S. Kambouroudis   +2 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Capturing the volatility smile: parametric volatility models versus stochastic volatility models [PDF]

open access: yesPublic and Municipal Finance, 2016
Black-Scholes option pricing model (1973) assumes that all option prices on the same underlying asset with the same expiration date, but different exercise prices should have the same implied volatility.
Belen Blanco
doaj   +1 more source

Implied Tail Risk and ESG Ratings

open access: yesMathematics, 2021
This paper explores whether the high or low ESG rating of a company is related to the level of its implied tail risk, measured on the basis of derivative data by implied skewness and implied kurtosis.
Jingyan Zhang   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Can the Implied Information of Options Predict the Liquidity of Stock Market? A Data-Driven Research Based on SSE 50ETF Options

open access: yesJournal of Mathematics, 2021
Liquidity reflects the quality of the market. When the market is short of liquidity, it often causes investors’ trading difficulties and stock price volatility, expanding the investment risk.
Hairong Cui, Jinfeng Fei, Xunfa Lu
doaj   +1 more source

The Impact of External Factors on Stock Return Volatility in the European Banking Sector

open access: yesProblemy Zarządzania, 2021
Purpose: The main aim of the paper is to examine the impact of external determinants on the banking stock return volatility to evaluate it in terms of the stock market capitalization.
Katarzyna Niewińska
doaj   +1 more source

The Relationship Between Implied Volatility and Cryptocurrency Returns

open access: yesFinance Research Letters, 2020
We analyse the relationship between the price volatility of a broad range of cryptocurrencies and that of implied volatility of both United States and European financial markets as measured by the VIX and VSTOXX respectively.
Erdinç Akyıldırım   +4 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The predictive power of stock market's expectations volatility: A financial synchronization phenomenon.

open access: yesPLoS ONE, 2021
We explore the use of implied volatility indices as a tool for estimate changes in the synchronization of stock markets. Specifically, we assess the implied stock market's volatility indices' predictive power on synchronizing global equity indices ...
Nicolás Magner   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Fractional Black–Scholes option pricing, volatility calibration and implied Hurst exponents in South African context

open access: yesSouth African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, 2017
Background: Contingent claims on underlying assets are typically priced under a framework that assumes, inter alia, that the log returns of the underlying asset are normally distributed.
Emlyn Flint, Eben Maré
doaj   +1 more source

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