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Transitive Reasoning with Imprecise Probabilities [PDF]

open access: yes, 2015
We study probabilistically informative (weak) versions of transitivity, by using suitable definitions of defaults and negated defaults, in the setting of coherence and imprecise probabilities. We represent p-consistent sequences of defaults and/or negated defaults by g-coherent imprecise probability assessments on the respective sequences of ...
Angelo Gilio   +2 more
openaire   +5 more sources

Variable Selection Bias in Classification Trees Based on Imprecise Probabilities [PDF]

open access: yes, 2005
Classification trees based on imprecise probabilities provide an advancement of classical classification trees. The Gini Index is the default splitting criterion in classical classification trees, while in classification trees based on imprecise ...
Carolin Strobl, Strobl, Carolin
core   +1 more source

A Technical Note on the Dirichlet-Multinomial Model [PDF]

open access: yes, 2012
This short note contains an explicit proof of the Dirichlet distribution being the conjugate prior to the Multinomial sample distribution as resulting from the general construction method described, e.g., in Bernardo and Smith (2000).
Walter, Gero
core   +1 more source

Comparison of Two New Robust Parameter Estimation Methods for the Power Function Distribution. [PDF]

open access: yesPLoS ONE, 2016
Estimation of any probability distribution parameters is vital because imprecise and biased estimates can be misleading. In this study, we investigate a flexible power function distribution and introduced new two methods such as, probability weighted ...
Muhammad Shakeel   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Sequential Probability Ratio Test for Fuzzy Hypotheses Testing with Vague Data

open access: yesAustrian Journal of Statistics, 2016
In hypotheses testing, such as other statistical problems, we may confront imprecise concepts. One case is a situation in which both hypotheses and observations are imprecise. In this paper, we redefine some concepts about fuzzy hypotheses testing, and
Hamzeh Torabi, Javad Behboodian
doaj   +1 more source

Probabilistic satisfiability with imprecise probabilities

open access: yesInternational Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 2000
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Pierre Hansen   +4 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Uncertain power flow calculation and global sensitivity analysis considering parametric probability-boxes

open access: yesEnergy Reports, 2023
Probabilistic power flow is one of the fundamental tools for assessing the impacts of uncertainties on the operating states of power systems. However, this analysis requires sufficient historical data to obtain precise probability distributions of input ...
Chenxu Wang   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

An efficient probabilistic workflow for estimating induced earthquake parameters in 3D heterogeneous media [PDF]

open access: yesSolid Earth, 2022
We present an efficient probabilistic workflow for the estimation of source parameters of induced seismic events in three-dimensional heterogeneous media. Our workflow exploits a linearized variant of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm. Compared
L. O. M. Masfara   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Imprecise Uncertain Reasoning: A Distributional Approach

open access: yesFrontiers in Psychology, 2018
The contribution proposes to model imprecise and uncertain reasoning by a mental probability logic that is based on probability distributions. It shows how distributions are combined with logical operators and how distributions propagate in inference ...
Gernot D. Kleiter
doaj   +1 more source

Uncertainty Multi-source Information Fusion for Intelligent Flood Risk Analysis Based on Random Set Theory [PDF]

open access: yesInternational Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems, 2012
Information fusion has been a hot topic currently, how to make information fusion for intelligent decision is a challenge. Although the applications of random set theory attract many researchers, the probability function distribution is still imprecise ...
Yajuan Xie   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

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