Results 191 to 200 of about 4,621 (238)

Autoregressive Hypergraph

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Traditional graph representations are insufficient for modelling real‐world phenomena involving multi‐entity interactions, such as collaborative projects or protein complexes, necessitating the use of hypergraphs. While hypergraphs preserve the intrinsic nature of such complex relationships, existing models often overlook temporal evolution in
Xianghe Zhu, Qiwei Yao
wiley   +1 more source

Estimation of the Intercept Parameter in Integrated Galton–Watson Processes

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the estimation of the intercept parameter in an integrated Galton–Watson process, an important building block for many count‐valued time series models. In this unit root setting, the ordinary least squares estimator is known to be inconsistent, whereas the existing weighted least squares (WLS) estimator is consistent only in the case ...
Yang Lu
wiley   +1 more source

On Testing for Independence Between Generalized Error Models of Several Time Series

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We define generalized innovations associated with generalized error models having arbitrary distributions, that is, distributions that can be mixtures of continuous and discrete distributions. These models include stochastic volatility models and regime‐switching models with possibly zero‐inflated regimes.
Kilani Ghoudi, Bouchra R. Nasri, Bruno N. Rémillard   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Measure‐valued processes for energy markets

Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.
Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero, Luca Di Persio, Francesco Guida, Sara Svaluto‐Ferro   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

The fundamental theorem of asset pricing with and without transaction costs

Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 567-609, April 2025.
Abstract We prove a version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) in continuous time that is based on the strict no‐arbitrage condition and that is applicable to both frictionless markets and markets with proportional transaction costs. We consider a market with a single risky asset whose ask price process is higher than or equal to its ...
Christoph Kühn
wiley   +1 more source

Perpetual Futures Pricing

Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Perpetual futures are contracts without expiration date in which the anchoring of the futures price to the spot price is ensured by periodic funding payments from long to short. We derive explicit expressions for the no‐arbitrage price of various perpetual contracts, including linear, inverse, and quantos futures in both discrete and ...
Damien Ackerer, Julien Hugonnier, Urban Jermann   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Robust Bernoulli Mixture Models for Credit Portfolio Risk

Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper presents comparison results and establishes risk bounds for credit portfolios within classes of Bernoulli mixture models, assuming conditionally independent defaults that are stochastically increasing in a common risk factor. We provide simple and interpretable conditions on conditional default probabilities that imply a comparison ...
Jonathan Ansari, Eva Lütkebohmert
wiley   +1 more source

Weighted Poincare Inequality of Fractional Order (Stochastic Analysis of Jump Processes and Related Topics)

Weighted Poincare Inequality of Fractional Order (Stochastic Analysis of Jump Processes and Related Topics)
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