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Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty Nexus: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan [PDF]

open access: yesInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 2012
This study examines relationship between Inflation and Inflation uncertainty for Pakistan using monthly data over 1957:1-2007:12. ARMA-GARCH model is applied to estimate conditional volatility of inflation.
Sajid Amin Javed   +3 more
doaj   +8 more sources

What Caused the US Pandemic-Era Inflation?

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network, 2023
We estimate a simple dynamic model of prices, wages, and short-run and long-run inflation expectations that allows us to analyze and quantify the sources of recent U.S. inflation.
Olivier J. Blanchard, Ben S. Bernanke
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Forward-looking component in consumers’expectations and inflation forecast targeting: the case of six European economies [PDF]

open access: yesZbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci : časopis za ekonomsku teoriju i praksu, 2019
Since there are different ways of revealing central banks’ intentions, a simple research question, which we address in this study, arises. Is the forward-looking (FL) component of consumers’ expectations related to the way in which the forecast is ...
Magdalena Szyszko , Aleksandra Rutkowska
doaj   +1 more source

Anisotropic Hyperbolic Inflation [PDF]

open access: yesJCAP 09 (2021) 026, 2021
Hyperbolic inflation is an extension of the slow-roll inflation in multi-field models. We extend hyperbolic inflation by adding a gauge field and find four-type attractor solutions: slow-roll inflation, hyperbolic inflation, anisotropic slow roll inflation, and anisotropic hyperbolic inflation.
arxiv   +1 more source

Can Food Inflation Be Stabilized By Monetary Policy? A Quantile Regression Approach

open access: yesJournal of economic impact, 2022
Theoretically, a consistent and well-defined monetary policy can stabilize food inflation. However, empirical findings have reported both positive and negative effects of monetary policy measures on food inflation.
Choudary Ihtasham Ali   +5 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

A Markov-Switching Model of Inflation in Bolivia

open access: yesEconomies, 2021
The Bolivian inflation process is analyzed utilizing a time-varying univariate and multivariate Markov-switching model (TMS). With monthly data and, beginning in the late 1930s, inflation is accurately described by a univariate TMS. The intercept for the
Antonio N. Bojanic
doaj   +1 more source

Favored Inflationary Models by Scalar Field Condensate Baryogenesis

open access: yesGalaxies, 2021
We calculate the baryon asymmetry value generated in the Scalar Field Condensate (SCF) baryogenesis model obtained in several inflationary scenarios and different reheating models.
Daniela Kirilova, Mariana Panayotova
doaj   +1 more source

Information overflow between monetary policy transparency and inflation expectations using multivariate stochastic volatility models

open access: yesApplied Mathematics in Science and Engineering, 2023
The forward-looking policy is useful for joint decision-making between public and monetary authorities. The study calculates the monetary policy transparency index, inflation expectations, and their volatility spillover effects at a data-driven angle ...
Qizhi He, Mati ur Rahman, Cuihua Xie
doaj   +1 more source

Inflation targeting or exchange rate targeting: Which framework supports the goal of price stability in emerging market economies? [PDF]

open access: yesPLoS ONE, 2018
The paper investigates and compares the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty under inflation targeting and, alternatively, a conventional fixed exchange rate system, for a group of emerging countries.
Nora Abu Asab   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23

open access: yesFederal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Working Papers, 2021
Predictions of oil prices reaching $100 per barrel during the winter of 2021/22 have raised fears of persistently high inflation and rising inflation expectations for years to come. We show that these concerns have been overstated. A $100 oil scenario of
L. Kilian, Xiaoqing Zhou
semanticscholar   +1 more source

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