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Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty Nexus: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan [PDF]
This study examines relationship between Inflation and Inflation uncertainty for Pakistan using monthly data over 1957:1-2007:12. ARMA-GARCH model is applied to estimate conditional volatility of inflation.
Sajid Amin Javed+3 more
doaj +8 more sources
What Caused the US Pandemic-Era Inflation?
We estimate a simple dynamic model of prices, wages, and short-run and long-run inflation expectations that allows us to analyze and quantify the sources of recent U.S. inflation.
Olivier J. Blanchard, Ben S. Bernanke
semanticscholar +1 more source
Forward-looking component in consumers’expectations and inflation forecast targeting: the case of six European economies [PDF]
Since there are different ways of revealing central banks’ intentions, a simple research question, which we address in this study, arises. Is the forward-looking (FL) component of consumers’ expectations related to the way in which the forecast is ...
Magdalena Szyszko , Aleksandra Rutkowska
doaj +1 more source
Anisotropic Hyperbolic Inflation [PDF]
Hyperbolic inflation is an extension of the slow-roll inflation in multi-field models. We extend hyperbolic inflation by adding a gauge field and find four-type attractor solutions: slow-roll inflation, hyperbolic inflation, anisotropic slow roll inflation, and anisotropic hyperbolic inflation.
arxiv +1 more source
Can Food Inflation Be Stabilized By Monetary Policy? A Quantile Regression Approach
Theoretically, a consistent and well-defined monetary policy can stabilize food inflation. However, empirical findings have reported both positive and negative effects of monetary policy measures on food inflation.
Choudary Ihtasham Ali+5 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
A Markov-Switching Model of Inflation in Bolivia
The Bolivian inflation process is analyzed utilizing a time-varying univariate and multivariate Markov-switching model (TMS). With monthly data and, beginning in the late 1930s, inflation is accurately described by a univariate TMS. The intercept for the
Antonio N. Bojanic
doaj +1 more source
Favored Inflationary Models by Scalar Field Condensate Baryogenesis
We calculate the baryon asymmetry value generated in the Scalar Field Condensate (SCF) baryogenesis model obtained in several inflationary scenarios and different reheating models.
Daniela Kirilova, Mariana Panayotova
doaj +1 more source
The forward-looking policy is useful for joint decision-making between public and monetary authorities. The study calculates the monetary policy transparency index, inflation expectations, and their volatility spillover effects at a data-driven angle ...
Qizhi He, Mati ur Rahman, Cuihua Xie
doaj +1 more source
Inflation targeting or exchange rate targeting: Which framework supports the goal of price stability in emerging market economies? [PDF]
The paper investigates and compares the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty under inflation targeting and, alternatively, a conventional fixed exchange rate system, for a group of emerging countries.
Nora Abu Asab+2 more
doaj +1 more source
The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23
Predictions of oil prices reaching $100 per barrel during the winter of 2021/22 have raised fears of persistently high inflation and rising inflation expectations for years to come. We show that these concerns have been overstated. A $100 oil scenario of
L. Kilian, Xiaoqing Zhou
semanticscholar +1 more source