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What Do the Data Tell Us About Inflation Expectations?
Social Science Research Network, 2022Inflation expectations are central to economics because they affect the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy as well as realized inflation. We survey the recent literature with a focus on the inflation expectations of households.
Francesco D’Acunto +2 more
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This paper shows that inflation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, inflations of (22) OECD countries have a common factor that alone account for nearly 70% of their variance. This large variance share that is associated to Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to 1980 and ...
Ciccarelli, Matteo, Mojon, Benoît
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Inflation Targeting and Inflation Uncertainty [PDF]
AbstractThis article empirically investigates the impact of inflation targeting on inflation uncertainty. We implement PARCH and GARCH methodologies to model conditional variance of inflation. We also investigate the relationship between level and volatility of inflation to analyze the validity of the Friedman hypothesis for IT countries.
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Inflation Uncertainty and the Cost of Inflation [PDF]
In this paper, the authors develop a measure of the cost of inflation uncertainty where a risk premium can be interpreted as the amount of real consumption that a representative agent is willing to forgo in order to be guaranteed a perfectly anticipated path of inflation. This premium can be calculated based on the estimation of a utility function that
Pierre Ouellette, Alain Paquet
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Consumer Price Index When you hear a news item about inflation, chances are the reporter is talking about the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI tracks the change in prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of goods and services.
Klaus-Wilhelm Hornberg
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Inflation targeting and core inflation [PDF]
Abstract. This paper examines the interaction of core inflation and inflation targeting as a monetary policy regime. Interest in core inflation has grown because of inflation targeting. Core inflation is defined in numerous ways giving rise to many potential measures; this paper defines core inflation as the best forecaster of inflation.
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ACM Conference on Economics and Computation, 2018
A solution to marketplace information asymmetries is to have trading partners publicly rate each other post-transaction. Many have shown these ratings are effective; we show that their effectiveness deteriorates over time. The problem is that ratings are
Apostolos Filippas +2 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
A solution to marketplace information asymmetries is to have trading partners publicly rate each other post-transaction. Many have shown these ratings are effective; we show that their effectiveness deteriorates over time. The problem is that ratings are
Apostolos Filippas +2 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Inflation and Inflation Volatility in Australia
Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy, 2014This paper highlights the problem of inflation volatility in Australia and deploys quarter‐on‐quarter CPI‐inflation data over the period 1949q3–2013q4 to investigate the proposition of a feedback relation between inflation and inflation volatility in this country.
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Inflation targeting is a monetary-policy strategy characterized by an announced numerical inflation target, an implementation of monetary policy that gives a major role to an inflation forecast that has been called forecast targeting, and a high degree of transparency and accountability.
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