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Inflation Expectations Revisited
Economica, 1988This paper describes the construction and main features of a new monthly time series for the mean and standard deviation of consumer inflation expectations in the United Kingdom in the years 1961-85, based on a number of consumer surveys. This involves generalizing to four- and five-category tendency survey data the method used by J. A.
Batchelor, Roy A, Orr, Adrian B
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Global Inflation Dynamics and Inflation Expectations
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2018Abstract In this paper we investigate dynamics of inflation and short-run inflation expectations. We estimate a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model using Bayesian techniques. We then explore the effects of three source of inflationary pressure that could drive up inflation expectations: domestic aggregate demand and supply shocks as well as a ...
Martin Feldkircher, Pierre L. Siklos
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TIPS and inflation expectations
Applied Economics Letters, 2008Previous research suggests that the market for index-linked bonds is not entirely efficient and that these inefficiencies can be exploited by including inflation forecasts in trades on break-even inflation. Inspired by those results, we test the informational content of inflation expectations using survey data generated by the survey of professional ...
Bardong, F, Lehnert, T
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Inflation Expectations and Climate Concern
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2022Using survey data from German households, we find that individuals with lower climate concern tend to have higher inflation expectations up to five years ahead. This correlation is most pronounced among individuals with extremely high inflation expectations.
Meinerding, Christoph +2 more
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Inflation Perceptions and Inflation Expectations
FEDS Notes, 2016In this note, we discuss new data on consumers' perceptions of recent inflation from the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers (MSC). Our preliminary results show that survey responses indicate inflation perceptions differ widely across individuals (with a slightly wider distribution than for inflation expectations) but the bulk of responses are ...
David Lebow +2 more
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Inflation Expectations and Inflation Persistence
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2023AbstractThis paper examines the relationship between inflation expectations and inflation persistence. Using a Markov‐switching model of U.S. inflation, we first show that higher inflation persistence is associated with a higher mean level of inflation and greater inflation uncertainty.
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Measuring Inflation Expectations
Annual Review of Economics, 2013To conduct monetary policy, central banks around the world increasingly rely on measures of public inflation expectations. In this article, we review findings from an ongoing initiative at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York aimed at improving the measurement and our understanding of household inflation expectations through surveys.
Olivier Armantier +5 more
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1977
Abstract This chapter argues that although it is correct, nowadays, to take it that inflation is expected, it is a mistake to suppose that the expectation of inflation is consistent. One should distinguish between the effects of inflation on different kinds of markets and different kinds of dealings.
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Abstract This chapter argues that although it is correct, nowadays, to take it that inflation is expected, it is a mistake to suppose that the expectation of inflation is consistent. One should distinguish between the effects of inflation on different kinds of markets and different kinds of dealings.
openaire +1 more source