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Do inflation targets anchor inflation expectations?
Economic Modelling, 2013Abstract We suggest a simple test of whether an inflation target anchors private-sector inflation expectations. The test is easy to compute and it is robust to various sources of misspecification. The test may be a useful alternative to dispersion measures commonly studied in research on inflation targeting.
Christian Pierdzioch +1 more
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Simple interpolations of inflation expectations
Economics Letters, 2023zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
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Inflation expectations in Hungary [PDF]
The aim of this study is to provide an overview of the main characteristics of expectations of professional forecasters, households and firms in respect of Hungarian inflation trends. In countries where an inflation targeting regime is in place, inflation expectations are of key importance from the perspective of monetary policy and play a significant ...
Péter Gábriel +2 more
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Anchoring Households’ Inflation Expectations When Inflation is High
SSRN Electronic JournalThis paper explores communication strategies for anchoring households' mediumterm inflation expectations in a high inflation environment. We conducted a survey experiment with a representative sample of 4,000 German households at the height of the recent inflation surge in early 2023, with information treatments including a qualitative statement by the
Dräger, Lena +2 more
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Long-Run Inflation Expectations
Professional forecasters' long-run inflation expectations overreact to news and exhibit persistent, predictable biases in forecast errors. A model incorporating overconfidence in private information and a persistent expectations bias-which generates persistent forecast errors across most forecasters-accounts for these two features of the data, offeringFisher, Jonas D. M. +2 more
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Modeling Inflation Expectations [PDF]
expectations? We find that the answer to both questions is negative: Standard medium scale DSGE models have difficulties explaining the evolution of inflation expectations, and that the fit is even worse when we introduce imperfect information.
Stefano Eusepi, Marco Del Negro
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Householders’ Inflation Expectations [PDF]
Inflation expectations have wide-reaching effects on the macroeconomy and are an important part of the transmission of monetary policy. This paper analyses the Melbourne Institute survey of householders’ inflation expectations. Householders’ average inflation expectations vary with personal characteristics.
Andrea Brischetto, Gordon de Brouwer
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Inflation compensation and inflation expectations in Chile [PDF]
This paper studies the relationship between inflation compensation and inflation expectations in Chile. First, we use the present discounted value methodology to decompose the difference between the unanticipated return of nominal and inflation-linked bonds into news about expected inflation and premiums.
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