A Systematic Review of INGARCH Models for Integer-Valued Time Series [PDF]
Count time series are widely available in fields such as epidemiology, finance, meteorology, and sports, and thus there is a growing demand for both methodological and application-oriented research on such data.
Mengya Liu +3 more
doaj +2 more sources
Prior Sensitivity Analysis in a Semi-Parametric Integer-Valued Time Series Model [PDF]
We examine issues of prior sensitivity in a semi-parametric hierarchical extension of the INAR(p) model with innovation rates clustered according to a Pitman−Yor process placed at the top of the model hierarchy.
Helton Graziadei +4 more
doaj +2 more sources
Re-visiting the COVID-19 analysis using the class of high ordered integer-valued time series models with harmonic features [PDF]
The COVID-19 series is obviously one of the most volatile time series with lots of spikes and oscillations. The conventional integer-valued auto-regressive time series models (INAR) may be limited to account for such features in COVID-19 series such as ...
Naushad Mamode Khan +5 more
doaj +2 more sources
Robust Change Point Test for General Integer-Valued Time Series Models Based on Density Power Divergence [PDF]
In this study, we consider the problem of testing for a parameter change in general integer-valued time series models whose conditional distribution belongs to the one-parameter exponential family when the data are contaminated by outliers. In particular,
Byungsoo Kim, Sangyeol Lee
doaj +2 more sources
Re-analyzing the SARS-CoV-2 series using an extended integer-valued time series models: A situational assessment of the COVID-19 in Mauritius [PDF]
This paper proposes some high-ordered integer-valued auto-regressive time series process of order p (INAR(p)) with Zero-Inflated and Poisson-mixtures innovation distributions, wherein the predictor functions in these mentioned distributions allow for ...
Ashwinee Devi Soobhug +8 more
doaj +4 more sources
Recent advancements in integer-valued autoregressive models for count data time series: A comprehensive review [PDF]
Count data time series, characterized by non-negative integer values, frequently arise across diverse domains, including finance, public health, economics, epidemiology, and environmental sciences.
Vinitha Serrao +2 more
doaj +2 more sources
Infectious Diseases in Children: Diagnosing the Impact of Climate Change-Related Disasters Using Integer-Valued Autoregressive Models with Overdispersion [PDF]
The incidence of infectious diseases in children may be affected by climate change-related disaster risks that increase as extreme weather events become more frequent.
Dessie Wanda +5 more
doaj +2 more sources
Binomial Thinning Integer-Valued AR (1) with Poisson – α Fold Zero Modified Geometric Innovations [PDF]
Real count data time series often show the phenomenon of the overdispersion. In this paper, we introduce the first-order integer-valued autoregressive process.
Maryam Shalbaf +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Coherent Forecasting for a Mixed Integer-Valued Time Series Model
In commerce, economics, engineering and the sciences, quantitative methods based on statistical models for forecasting are very useful tools for prediction and decision.
Wooi Chen Khoo +2 more
doaj +1 more source
On the Estimation for Compound Poisson Inarch Processes
Considering the wide class of discrete Compound Poisson INARCH models, introduced in [6], the main goal of this paper is to develop and compare parametric estimation procedures for first-order models, applicable without specifying the conditional ...
E. Gonçalves +2 more
doaj +1 more source

