Results 31 to 40 of about 616 (125)

Robust CDF‐Filtering of a Location Parameter

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper introduces a novel framework for designing robust filters associated with signal plus noise models having symmetric observation density. The filters are obtained by a recursion where the innovation term is a transform of the cumulative distribution function of the residuals.
Leopoldo Catania, Andrew C. Harvey, Alessandra Luati   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Robust Estimation and Inference for Time‐Varying Unconditional Volatility

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We derive a general and robust estimator of a large class of parametric specifications of time‐varying unconditional volatility of financial returns, both univariate and multivariate, and establish the Consistency and Asymptotic Normality (CAN) of the estimator.
Adam Lee, Rickard Sandberg, Genaro Sucarrat   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Measure‐valued processes for energy markets

Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.
Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero, Luca Di Persio, Francesco Guida, Sara Svaluto‐Ferro   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

The fundamental theorem of asset pricing with and without transaction costs

Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 567-609, April 2025.
Abstract We prove a version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) in continuous time that is based on the strict no‐arbitrage condition and that is applicable to both frictionless markets and markets with proportional transaction costs. We consider a market with a single risky asset whose ask price process is higher than or equal to its ...
Christoph Kühn
wiley   +1 more source

Navigating Supply Shocks: Sector Resilience and Production Prices Through Stochastic Input–Output Modeling

Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study develops a novel multivariate stochastic framework for assessing systemic risks, such as climate and nature‐related shocks, within production or financial networks. By embedding a linear stochastic fluid network, interpretable as a generalized vector Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, into the production network of interdependent ...
Giovanni Amici, Gianluca Fusai, Anna Maria Gambaro, Daniele Marazzina   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Automatic differentiation of uncertainties: an interval computational differentiation for first and higher derivatives with implementation. [PDF]

PeerJ Comput Sci, 2023
Dawood H, Megahed N.
europepmc   +1 more source

Solving Stochastic Climate‐Economy Models: A Deep Least‐Squares Monte Carlo Approach

Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Stochastic versions of recursive integrated climate‐economy assessment models are essential for studying and quantifying policy decisions under uncertainty. However, as the number of state variables and stochastic shocks increases, solving these models via deterministic grid‐based dynamic programming (e.g., value‐function iteration/projection ...
Aleksandar Arandjelović, Pavel V. Shevchenko, Tomoko Matsui, Daisuke Murakami, Tor A. Myrvoll   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Too Much Finance: Mechanisms That Harm Growth and Policy Implications

The Manchester School, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The mechanisms for the financial sector to harm growth arise through short‐termism of financial markets. This leads to the misallocation of resources in the private sector, leading to financial crises and damage to growth. However, harm to growth comes not only from financial crises, but also from the failure of short‐termist financial markets
Arup Daripa, Sandeep Kapur, Marco Pelliccia   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Contractionary Effects of Devaluation and the Balance Sheet Effect in a Macroeconomic Model With Heterogeneous Firms

Metroeconomica, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose a demand‐led heterogeneous firm macroeconomic model to study the impact of an exchange rate devaluation on output and financial stability. We simulate the model and find that, in the presence of foreign debt, a devaluation can have contractionary effects.
Lucca Gustafson Rodrigues, Lílian Rolim, Laura Carvalho   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Additive Logic of Epistemic Reasons: An Axiomatic Account

Theoria, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The article argues for a system of axioms that is meant to capture the logic of normative reasons for belief. The system concerns a primitive direct‐reason relation, a defined doxastic‐reason relation, and a primitive function for the revision of rational belief by reasons.
Hannes Leitgeb
wiley   +1 more source