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Risk analysis in investment appraisal [PDF]
This paper was prepared for the purpose of presenting the methodology and uses of the Monte Carlo simulation technique as applied in the evaluation of investment projects to analyse and assess risk. The first part of the paper highlights the importance of risk analysis in investment appraisal.
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Beyond VaR and Expected Shortfall: The Stress Testing/Scenario Analysis approach for protecting the investors in the post-Covid19 era. [PDF]
With political and economic scenarios changing at an ever faster pace, it is necessary to understand the potential effects on asset prices. Today, the topic of rising inflation in the US as well as in the Eurozone, although still considered temporary by ...
Gianluca Macchia
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Economic recovery and inflation risk: what is the “price” to manage debt? [PDF]
It is clear the action of policy makers aimed at supporting the economic recovery, holding up consumption in the short term as well as public investments in the long terms.
Gianluca Macchia
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Risk in Transport Investments [PDF]
We discuss how the standard Cost-Benefit Analysis should be modified in order to take risk (and uncertainty) into account. We propose different approaches used in finance (Value at Risk, Conditional Value at Risk, Downside Risk Measures, and Efficiency Ratio) as useful tools to model the impact of risk in project evaluation.
de Palma, André +2 more
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Analysing the risk tolerance levels of stokvel investors
Stokvels (globally known as credit unions) as an investment alternative has been one of the most profitable informal investment products. Yet, it is not recognised as a formal investment product due to the large risk attached to its informal investment ...
Katleho Mokoena +2 more
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Compostable packaging is one of the innovative alternatives to conventional packaging. This is also an opportunity in view of the current energy crisis and rising oil prices, firstly, because compostable packaging is produced only from renewable ...
Grażyna Kędzia +5 more
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Investor sentiment and foreign financial flows: Evidence from South Africa [PDF]
Foreign financial flows to emerging markets have increasingly become important following the opening of financial markets globally. These financial flows are a function of a country’s fundamentals related to future productivity.
Hilary Tinotenda Muguto +2 more
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BackgroundIn November 2019, an infectious agent that caused a severe acute respiratory illness was first detected in China. Its rapid spread resulted in a global lockdown with negative economic impacts. In this regard, we expose the solutions proposed by
Angélica Partida-Hanon +8 more
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Internal credit rating framework for real asset investment
Real asset investment, which is assumed to be worthier than traditional assets in regards to exposure to income volatility, has become central to investment portfolios in financial institutions.
Deog Sang Bae
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Extending Basel Regulatory Capital Requirement under Economic Downturns [PDF]
This paper studies credit risk management in banking industry and proposes a generic model for corporate loan portfolio loss distribution in economic downturns.
Amir Azamtarrahian, Saeed Asadi
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