Results 11 to 20 of about 74,925 (21)

Clustering and forecasting inflation expectations using the World Economic Survey: the case of the 2014 oil price shock on inflation targeting countries

open access: yes, 2017
This paper examines inflation expectations of the World Economic Survey for ten inflation targeting countries. First, by a Self Organizing Maps methodology, we cluster the trajectory of agents inflation expectations using the beginning of the oil price ...
Héctor M. Zárate-Solano   +1 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Differences in Response to Productivity Shock Depending on Economic Development Stages

open access: yes, 2018
In many previous studies of real business cycle, economy has been analyzed only near steady state. This research adds an analysis on transitional path to the analysis near steady state.
Inyong Shin
semanticscholar   +1 more source
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An Alternative Explanation for the “Fed Information Effect”

The American Economic Review, 2023
Regressions of private-sector macroeconomic forecast revisions on monetary policy surprises often produce coefficients with signs opposite to standard macroeconomic models.
Michal Bauer, Eric T Swanson
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Learning about Debt Crises

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2023
The European debt crisis presents a challenge to our understanding of the relationship between government bond yields and economic fundamentals. I argue that information frictions are an important missing element and support that claim with evidence on ...
Radoslaw Paluszynski
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Revisiting Economic Growth and Steel Consumption: Evidence from India

The Indian Economic Journal, 2022
The article analytically investigates the association between GDP growth and steel consumption in India from 2004–2005 to 2019–2020. We investigate the association of both long-term and short-term by employing the Granger causality test in the vector ...
Pinku Paul, Paroma Mitra
semanticscholar   +1 more source

External Debt and Economic Growth Nexus: Empirical Evidence From Nigeria

, 2020
This study models external debt and economic growth nexus for policy analysis on public finance and public debt management. The work uses the methodology of group unit root test, auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing, and co-integrating ...
Sylvester Ohiomu
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Google Correlate y Google Trends como herramientas para realizar un nowcast de las ventas minoristas

Ensayos Económicos
El trabajo internaliza información proveniente de las herramientas Google Trends y Google Correlate con el objetivo de realizar un nowcast de las ventas de supermercados de la Provincia de Santa Fe; un indicador que se publica con algunos meses de rezago.
Florencia Camusso, R. Jorge
semanticscholar   +1 more source

A Note on the Predictive Power of the Term Spread for the Output Gap

Journal of Applied Finance & Banking
The term spread predicts the output gap of the U.S. economy, only at short horizons, over the full post-World War II sample. Predictive linear regressions are characterized by parameter instability.
P. Zagaglia
semanticscholar   +1 more source

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