Results 11 to 20 of about 74,744 (44)

Skill Remoteness and Post-Layoff Labor Market Outcomes

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network
Local skill remoteness captures the dissimilarity between the skill profiles of a worker’s last job and other jobs in a local labor market. Higher skill remoteness at layoff is associated with persistently lower earnings after layoff, a higher ...
Claudia Macaluso
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Endogenous Technology Adoption and R&D as Sources of Business Cycle Persistence

open access: yesAmerican Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2016
We examine the hypothesis that the slowdown in productivity following the Great Recession was in significant part an endogenous response to the contraction in demand that induced the downturn. We motivate, develop, and estimate a model with an endogenous
D. Anzoategui   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The Term Structure of Growth-at-Risk

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network, 2018
We show that the conditional distribution of forecasted GDP growth depends on financial conditions in a panel of 11 advanced economies. Financial conditions have a larger effect on the lower fifth percentile of conditional growth—which we call growth-at ...
T. Adrian   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Rational Inattention and the Business Cycle Effects of Productivity and News Shocks

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network
We solve a real business cycle model with rational inattention (an RI-RBC model). In the RI-RBC model, the growth rates of employment, investment, and output are about as persistent as in the data, with an amount of inattention consistent with survey ...
Bartosz Mackowiak, Mirko Wiederholt
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Sources of Displaced Workers’ Long-Term Earnings Losses

open access: yesThe American Economic Review, 2017
We estimate the magnitudes of reduced earnings, work hours, and wage rates of workers displaced during the Great Recession using linked employer-employee panel data from Washington state.
Marta Lachowska   +2 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Business Cycle Anatomy

open access: yesThe American Economic Review, 2018
We propose a new strategy for dissecting the macroeconomic time series, provide a template for the business-cycle propagation mechanism that best describes the data, and use its properties to appraise models of both the parsimonious and the medium-scale ...
G. Angeletos, F. Collard, Harris Dellas
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The New Area-Wide Model of the Euro Area: A Micro-Founded Open-Economy Model for Forecasting and Policy Analysis

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network, 2008
In this paper, we outline a version of the New Area-Wide Model (NAWM) of the euro area designed for use in the (Broad) Macroeconomic Projection Exercises regularly undertaken by ECB/Eurosystem staff.
K. Christoffel, G. Coenen, A. Warne
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The Evolution of Local Labor Markets after Recessions

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network
This paper studies how US local labor markets respond to employment losses that occur during recessions. Following recessions from 1973 through 2009, we find areas that lose more jobs during the recession experience persistent relative declines in ...
Brad J. Hershbein, B. Stuart
semanticscholar   +1 more source

One Scheme Fits All: A Central Fiscal Capacity for the Emu Targeting Eurozone, National and Regional Shocks

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network
This paper proposes a central fiscal capacity for the euro area that generates transfers in response to euro area, country, and region-specific shocks.
R. Beetsma   +2 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

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