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Rising Import Tariffs, Falling Exports: When Modern Supply Chains Meet Old-Style Protectionism

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics
We examine the impacts of the 2018–2019 US import tariff increases on US exports through the lens of supply chain linkages. Using 2016 confidential firm-trade linked data, we identify exporters who were importing products that eventually faced tariff ...
Kyle Handley, Fariha Kamal, Ryan Monarch
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Do Environmental Regulations Affect the Decision to Export?

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2022
This paper investigates how a common form of environmental regulation—air quality standards—affects exporters. We develop a simple theoretical model to show how the design of these standards causes (i) some firms to stop exporting and (ii) a reduction in
Jevan Cherniwchan, N. Najjar
semanticscholar   +1 more source

When Tariffs Disrupt Global Supply Chains

The American Economic Review
We study unanticipated tariffs in a setting with firm-to-firm supply relationships. Firms conduct costly searches and negotiate with potential suppliers that pass a reservation level of match productivity.
G. Grossman   +2 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Offshore Profit Shifting and Aggregate Measurement: Balance of Payments, Foreign Investment, Productivity, and the Labor Share

The American Economic Review, 2022
We show how offshore profit shifting by US multinational enterprises affects several key measures of the US economy. Profits shifted out of the United States grew rapidly from the mid-1990s to 2010 and have since waned.
Fatih Guvenen   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The Incidence of the U.S.-China Solar Trade War

Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists
This paper investigates the distributional welfare effects of the recent trade war in the solar sector where the U.S. government initiated trade tariffs against Chinese solar manufacturers. We estimate a structural econometric model that incorporates the
Wen-Jun Wang, S. Houde
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The Round Trip Effect: Endogenous Transport Costs and International Trade

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2022
Container ships travel between a fixed set of origins and destinations in round trips, inducing a negative correlation in their freight rates. I study the implications of this round trip effect on international trade and trade policy.
Woan Foong Wong
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Consumer Credit and the Incidence of Tariffs: Evidence from the Auto Industry

The American Economic Review
Captive finance subsidiaries create a channel for trade policy to affect consumer credit. Examining the impact of the Trump administration’s metal tariffs on captive automobile lenders, we find that consumers received higher interest rates from captive ...
K. Hankins, Morteza Momeni, David Sovich
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Measurement of the Service Trade Cost Between China and RCEP Countries and Its Impact on Global Value Chains

Foreign Trade Review
This article measures the trade cost in services between China and Regional Comprehensive Partnership Agreement (RCEP) countries from 2005 to 2021 using the Novy gravity model and analyses the impact of services trade costs on the participation of RCEP ...
Xiaofei Chu   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

International Trade Effect of Geographical Indications: A Case Study of Basmati Rice Exports from India

Agricultural Economics Research Review
Using secondary data from 1990–1991 to 2023–24, this article analyses the effect of geographical indication (GI) registration on basmati rice exports from India.
P. A. Lakshmi Prasanna, J. Reddy
semanticscholar   +1 more source

International Transmission of Inequality through Trade

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
I examine the international transmission of income inequality through trade. Using firm-level and aggregate data, I find that exporting to more unequal countries increases domestic inequality.
Sergey Nigai
semanticscholar   +1 more source

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