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The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Supply News: Evidence from OPEC Announcements

open access: yesThe American Economic Review, 2021
This paper studies how changes in oil supply expectations affect the oil price and the macroeconomy. Using a novel identification design, exploiting institutional features of OPEC and high-frequency data, I identify an oil supply news shock. These shocks
D. Känzig
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Optimal Policy Under Dollar Pricing

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network, 2023
Empirical evidence shows that most international prices are sticky in dollars. This paper studies the policy implications of this fact in the context of an open economy model with general preferences, technologies, asset markets, nominal rigidities, and ...
K. Egorov, D. Mukhin
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Tariff Pass-Through at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from US Trade Policy

open access: yesAmerican Economic Review: Insights, 2019
We use microdata collected at the border and the store to characterize the price impact of recent US trade policy on importers, exporters, and consumers. At the border, import tariff pass-through is much higher than exchange rate pass-through.
Alberto Cavallo   +5 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Central Bank Information Effects and Transatlantic Spillovers

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network, 2022
The news about the economy contained in a central bank announcement can affect public expectations. This paper shows, using both event studies and vector autoregressions, that such central bank information effects are an important channel of the ...
Marek Jaroci´nski
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Exchange Rates and Economic Fundamentals: A Methodological Comparison of Beers and Feers

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network, 1998
This paper compares two approaches for examining the extent to which a country's actual real effective exchange rate is consistent with economic fundamentals: the FEER approach, which involves calculating the real exchange rate that equates the current ...
Peter B. Clark, R. MacDonald
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Inflation Differential Pass-Through to Exchange Rate: Some Evidence From Pakistan

open access: yesSAGE Open, 2023
Using regression and wavelet coherence techniques this paper tries to probe the validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) in Pakistan. For this purpose, monthly data is collected for nominal exchange rate and consumer prices of Pakistan and its 23 major ...
Muhammad Zakaria   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Bond Convenience Yields and Exchange Rate Dynamics

open access: yesAmerican Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2020
This paper proposes a new explanation for the failure of Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) that rationalizes both the classic UIP puzzle and the evidence that the puzzle reverses direction at longer horizons.
Rosen Valchev
semanticscholar   +1 more source

When Is Foreign Exchange Intervention Effective? Evidence from 33 Countries

open access: yesAmerican Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2019
This paper examines foreign exchange intervention based on novel daily data covering 33 countries from 1995 to 2011. We find that intervention is widely used and an effective policy tool, with a success rate in excess of 80 percent under some criteria ...
Marcel Fratzscher   +4 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network
We leverage the small open economy Switzerland as a testing ground for basic premises of macroeconomic models of endogenous information acquisition, using tailored surveys of firms and households.
H. Mikosch   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The Hedging Channel of Exchange Rate Determination

open access: yesInternational Finance Discussion Paper, 2020
We propose the currency hedging channel that connects countries’ external imbalances to their exchange rate behavior. We present a model in which investors increase their currency hedging during periods of financial distress in proportion to their net ...
Gordon Y. Liao, T. Zhang
semanticscholar   +1 more source

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