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The Global Capital Flows Cycle: Structural Drivers and Transmission Channels
Social Science Research Network, 2019 In this paper, we study the effects of structural shocks that influence global risk – the main factor behind a “global capital flows cycle” – and how risk, in turn, is transmitted to capital flows.
M. Habib, F. Venditti
semanticscholar +1 more source
International Prices, Costs, and Markup Differences
, 2011 Relative cross-border retail prices, in a common currency, comove closely with the nominal exchange rate. Using product-level prices and wholesale costs from a grocery chain operating in the United States and Canada, we decompose this variation into ...
Gita Gopinath +3 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
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A Minimalist Model for the Ruble During the Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Social Science Research Network, 2022This note isolates an overlooked economic force for the ruble to appreciate in response to international sanctions limiting exports to Russia. The intuition is that when Russians are unable to buy the mix of foreign goods they wish, foreign goods become ...
G. Lorenzoni, I. Werning
semanticscholar +1 more source
The American Economic Review, 2021
We develop a deep learning model to detect emotions embedded in press conferences after the Federal Open Market Committee meetings and examine the influence of the detected emotions on financial markets.
Y. Gorodnichenko +2 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
We develop a deep learning model to detect emotions embedded in press conferences after the Federal Open Market Committee meetings and examine the influence of the detected emotions on financial markets.
Y. Gorodnichenko +2 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Brazilian E-Commerce Prices
Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, 2023E-commerce has experienced significant growth and is becoming more relevant to economies. The exchange rate can have notable implications on e-commerce prices, and this relationship is of great interest to consumers and retailers transacting online ...
D. Amorim, Marcelo Resende
semanticscholar +1 more source
RMB misalignment: What does a meta‐analysis tell us?
Review of International Economics, 2022Using a dataset of 3108 dichotomous renminbi (RMB) misalignment estimates from 95 studies, we conduct a meta-analysis based on Bayesian model averaging (BMA) to assess the effects of study characteristics on these RMB misalignment estimates. The findings
Yin-Wong Cheung, Shi He
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The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Supply News: Evidence from OPEC Announcements
The American Economic Review, 2018This paper studies how changes in oil supply expectations affect the oil price and the macroeconomy. Using a novel identification design, exploiting institutional features of OPEC and high-frequency data, I identify an oil supply news shock. These shocks
D. Känzig
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Fiscal regimes and the exchange rate
Social Science Research Network, 2022In this paper, we argue that the effect of monetary and fiscal policies on the exchange rate depends on the fiscal regime. A contractionary monetary (expansionary fiscal) shock can lead to a depreciation, rather than an appreciation, of the domestic ...
Nikola Mirkov +3 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Delayed Overshooting: The Case for Information Rigidities
American Economic Journal: MacroeconomicsWe provide evidence that the delayed overshooting puzzle reflects a slow adjustment of exchange rate expectations to monetary policy shocks rather than a failure of uncovered interest parity.
Gernot J. Müller +2 more
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To Float or to Fix: Evidence on the Impact of Exchange Rate Regimes on Growth
, 2003We study the relationship between exchange rate regimes and economic growth for a sample of 183 countries over the post-Bretton Woods period, using a new de facto classification of regimes based on the actual behavior of the relevant macroeconomic ...
Eduardo Levy-Yeyati, F. Sturzenegger
semanticscholar +1 more source