Results 21 to 30 of about 82,916 (38)
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Curve momentum

Journal of Banking & Finance, 2020
We propose a momentum strategy that operates within commodity futures curves. The diversified curve momentum strategy generates a significantly positive average excess return and a (annualized) Sharpe ratio of 1.28.
Raphael Paschke   +2 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Arbitraging Covered Interest Rate Parity Deviations and Bank Lending

Social Science Research Network, 2021
I propose and test a new channel through which covered interest rate parity (CIP) deviations can affect bank lending in emerging economies. I argue that when CIP deviations exist, banks attempt to arbitrage them.
L. Keller
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Can Forward Commodity Markets Improve Spot Market Performance? Evidence from Wholesale Electricity

Social Science Research Network, 2020
Forward markets are believed to aggregate information about future spot prices and reduce the cost of producing the commodity. We develop a measure of the extent to which forward and spot prices agree in markets with transaction costs. Using this measure,
A. Jha, F. Wolak
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Do opinion polls move stock prices? Evidence from the US presidential election in 2016

Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2021
This paper analyzes stock market movements during the pre-election period of the 2016 US presidential elections. We raise the question whether stock prices anticipated the growing probability of a Trump win.
Michael Herold, A. Kanz, Matthias Muck
semanticscholar   +1 more source

US Treasury Auctions: A High-Frequency Identification of Supply Shocks

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
We identify Treasury supply shocks using auction data, interpreting changes in futures prices around announcements as shocks to expected supply. We isolate the component of futures price variations pertaining to US Treasury announcements between 1998 and
Maxime Phillot
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The effect of short selling on volatility and jumps

Australian Journal of Management, 2021
The evidence is mixed regarding the role of short sellers on stock market efficiency, with the majority of studies assessing short selling activities during abnormal market conditions.
Glenn Kit Foong Ho   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Option Pricing with Time-Varying Volatility Risk Aversion

The Review of financial studies, 2022
We introduce a pricing kernel with time-varying volatility risk aversion to explain the observed time variations in the shape of the pricing kernel. When combined with the Heston-Nandi GARCH model, this framework yields a tractable option pricing model
P. Hansen, Chen Tong
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Why does options market information predict stock returns?

Journal of Financial Economics
Several influential studies show that options volatilities and trading volume predict stock returns. This predictability is puzzling because market participants can readily observe options market data.
D. Muravyev   +2 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Ambiguity, Volatility, and Credit Risk

The Review of financial studies, 2019
We explore the implications of ambiguity for the pricing of credit default swaps (CDSs). A model of heterogeneous investors with independent preferences for ambiguity and risk shows that, because CDS contracts are assets in zero net supply, the net ...
Patrick Augustin, Yehuda Izhakian
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Common Pricing of Decentralized Risk: A Linear Option Pricing Model

The Review of financial studies
This paper proposes a top-down linear option pricing model that unifies the pricing of different option contracts not by assuming common dynamics but by imposing common pricing on each risk source in proportion to decentralized risk estimates.
Liuren Wu, Yuzhao Zhang
semanticscholar   +1 more source

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