Results 1 to 10 of about 82,302 (43)

Are bond returns predictable with real-time macro data?

open access: yesJournal of Econometrics, 2023
We examine whether bond returns are predictable with real-time macro variables by using two supervised learning methods, scaled PCA (sPCA) and partial least squares (PLS) instead of the usual PCA.
Dashan Huang   +4 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The contagion effect of COVID-19-induced uncertainty on US tourism sector: Evidence from time-varying granger causality test

open access: yesTourism Economics, 2022
This study investigates the effect of COVID-19-induced uncertainty on the overall stock market and the stock performance of the tourism and hospitality industry and its subsectors utilizing a novel time-varying robust Granger causality test.
Oğuzhan Çepni, T. Dogru, Ozgur Ozdemir
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Optimal Portfolio with Sustainable Attitudes under Cumulative Prospect Theory

open access: yesJournal of Applied Finance & Banking, 2023
In the last five years, extreme events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian crisis have highlighted the importance of corporate social responsibility and sustainable principles.
M. Kaucic   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

NEURAL NETWORKS IN FINANCE: A DESCRIPTIVE SYSTEMATIC REVIEW

open access: yesIndian Journal of Finance and Banking, 2021
Traditional statistical methods pose challenges in data analysis due to irregularity in the financial data. To improve accuracy, financial researchers use machine learning architectures for the past two decades.
Dr. K. Riyazahmed
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Equity Premium in Efficient Markets [PDF]

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network
Equity premium, the surplus returns of stocks over bonds, has been an enduring puzzle. While numerous prior works approach the problem assuming the utility of money is invariant across contexts, our approach implies that in efficient markets the utility ...
B. N. Kausik
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Value-at-Risk Estimation Using an Interpolated Distribution of Financial Returns Series

open access: yesJournal of Applied Finance & Banking, 2022
This paper develops a model for estimating Value-at-Risk (VaR) from the historical return series. The proposed method uses spline interpolation to represent the empirical probability distribution of the return series. The approach developed in this paper
Saeed Shaker-Akhtekhane   +1 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Banks' Strategic Interaction, Adverse Price Dynamics and Systemic Liquidity Risk

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network, 2022
In this paper, we introduce two measures, the Systemic Liquidity Buffer (SLB) and the Systemic Liquidity Shortfall (SLS), to assess liquidity in the banking system. The SLB takes an aggregated perspective on liquidity risks in the banking system.
U. Krüger   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The scale of predictability

open access: yesJournal of Econometrics, 2019
We view economic time series as the result of a cascade of shocks occurring at different times and different frequencies (scales). We suggest that economic relations that are found to be elusive when using raw data may hold true for different layers ...
F. Bandi   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

A Mathematical Model for the Pricing of Derivative Financial Products: the Role of the Banking Supervision and of the Model Risk

open access: yesJournal of Finance and Investment Analysis, 2022
This paper aims to identify an innovative procedure to assess the model risk of a derivative financial product. More precisely, the authors, after briefly discussing the role of banking supervision, present a framework to estimate the model risk at the ...
R. Ferrentino, L. Vota
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Structural asymmetries and financial imbalances in the Eurozone

open access: yesReview of economic dynamics (Print), 2020
Almost two decades after the introduction of the common currency differences in institutional frameworks remain a major source of cross-country heterogeneity in the eurozone.
I. Jaccard, F. Smets
semanticscholar   +1 more source

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