Results 1 to 10 of about 72,028 (44)

Fiscal Policy and the Government Balance Sheet in China

open access: yesIMF Working Papers, 2023
In this paper, we present the most comprehensive estimates of China’s government balance sheet to date. Based on these estimates, we show how major shifts in fiscal policy over the last two decades have shaped the health of the public sector prior to the
Waikei Lam
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The Commitment Benefit of Consols in Government Debt Management

open access: yesAmerican Economic Review: Insights, 2022
We consider optimal government debt maturity in a deterministic economy in which the government can issue any arbitrary debt maturity structure and in which bond prices are a function of the government’s current and future primary surpluses.
Davide Debortoli   +2 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The Invisible Hand of the Government: 'Moral Suasion' During the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

open access: yesAmerican Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2016
Using proprietary data on banks’ monthly securities holdings, we show that during the European sovereign debt crisis, domestic banks in fiscally stressed countries were considerably more likely than foreign banks to increase their holdings of domestic ...
S. Ongena, A. Popov, Neeltje van Horen
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises: A Quantitative Analysis

open access: yesThe American Economic Review, 2016
This paper investigates the role of self-fulfilling expectations in sovereign bond markets. We consider a model of sovereign borrowing featuring endogenous debt maturity, risk-averse lenders, and self-fulfilling crises à la Cole and Kehoe (2000). In this
Luigi Bocola, Alessandro Dovis
semanticscholar   +1 more source

External Debt Default and Foreign Direct Investments

open access: yesBulletin of Applied Economics, 2022
We analyze the effect of a country’s defaults and restructuring its’ official and private external debt on its ability to attract foreign direct investment.
Nachiket Thakkar, Kiran Ambreen Ayub
semanticscholar   +1 more source

A Model of Safe Asset Determination

open access: yesThe American Economic Review, 2016
What makes an asset a “safe” asset? We study a model where two countries each issue sovereign bonds to satisfy investors’ safe asset demands. The countries differ in the float of their bonds and the fundamental resources available to rollover debts.
Zhiguo He   +2 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Unconventional Monetary Policy, Funding Expectations, and Firm Decisions

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network, 2021
We study the transmission of (unconventional) monetary policy to the real sector when firm decisions depend on both current and future credit market conditions. For a given level of current credit access, investment and employment increases more at firms
Annalisa Ferrando   +2 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

When Interest Rates Go Low, Should Public Debt Go High?

open access: yesSocial Science Research Network, 2021
Is deficit finance free when real borrowing rates are routinely lower than growth rates? Specifically, can the government make all generations better off by perpetually taking from the young and giving to the old?
J. Brumm   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Bond Convenience Yields and Exchange Rate Dynamics

open access: yesAmerican Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2017
This paper proposes a new explanation for the failure of Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) that rationalizes both the classic UIP puzzle and the evidence that the puzzle reverses direction at longer horizons.
Rosen Valchev
semanticscholar   +1 more source

The Premia on State-Contingent Sovereign Debt Instruments

open access: yesIMF Working Papers, 2021
State-contingent debt instruments such as GDP-linked warrants have garnered attention as a potential tool to help debt-stressed economies smooth repayments over business cycles, yet very few studies of the empirical properties of these instruments exist.
Deniz Igan, Antoine Lévy, Taehoon Kim
semanticscholar   +1 more source

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