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Is Inflation Default? The Role of Information in Debt Crises
We study the information sensitivity of government debt denominated in domestic versus foreign currency: the former is subject to inflation risk and the latter to default.
M. Bassetto, C. Galli
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Rational Inattention to News: The Perils of Forward Guidance
This paper studies the social value of information about the future. In a stylized OLG model, agents need to forecast the future price level, they observe the current price and perceive with idiosyncratic noise the expectation announced by a more ...
Gaetano Gaballo
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American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2023
The European debt crisis presents a challenge to our understanding of the relationship between government bond yields and economic fundamentals. I argue that information frictions are an important missing element and support that claim with evidence on ...
Radoslaw Paluszynski
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The European debt crisis presents a challenge to our understanding of the relationship between government bond yields and economic fundamentals. I argue that information frictions are an important missing element and support that claim with evidence on ...
Radoslaw Paluszynski
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Central Bank Credibility and Fiscal Responsibility
Social Science Research Network, 2023We consider a New Keynesian model with strategic monetary and fiscal interactions. The fiscal authority maximizes social welfare. Monetary policy is delegated to a central bank with an anti-inflation bias that suffers from a lack of commitment.
Jesse Schreger+2 more
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Reputation, Bailouts, and Interest Rate Spread Dynamics
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2022We propose a joint theory for interest rate dynamics and bailout decisions. Interest rate spreads are driven by time-varying fundamentals and expectations of future bailouts. Private agents are uncertain about the government's willingness to bail out and
Alessandro Dovis, Rishabh Kirpalani
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Public Finance Management in India in the Time of COVID-19 Pandemic
The Indian Economic Journal, 2022Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, public finance management (PFM) in the FY 2020–2021 and 2021–2022 have become extremely challenging. The economic contraction has created pressures on PFM in India in terms of lower revenue mobilisation and higher ...
S. Mukherjee, Shivani Badola
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Public Debt and External Debt Sustainability among BRICS Countries
Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, 2022This study analyses an important policy issue pertaining to the public debt and external debt of BRICS nations from 1993 to 2020 using the Bohn framework and a penalised-spline estimation method. It also checks the robustness of the results using the ADF
Magulsha George, K. Shanmugam
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The Value of Fiscal Capacity in the Face of a Rare Disaster
, 2020We study stock market reactions to the COVID-19 outbreak around the world. Using individual stock-level data of more than 29,000 firms across more than 100 countries, we find that the stock market expects larger economic losses among countries with ...
F. Gerding, T. Martin, Florian Nagler
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Term Premia and Inflation Uncertainty: Empirical Evidence from an International Panel Dataset
, 2011This paper provides cross-country empirical evidence on term premia. I construct a panel of zero-coupon nominal government bond yields spanning ten industrialized countries and nearly two decades.
Jonathan H. Wright
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The Currency Composition of Sovereign Debt
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2019We study the currency composition of sovereign debt in emerging economies through the lens of a model in which the government lacks commitment regarding debt and monetary policy.
D. Perez, Pablo Ottonello
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