Results 1 to 10 of about 81,051 (44)
The Costs of Job Displacement over the Business Cycle and Its Sources: Evidence from Germany
Social Science Research Network, 2022 We document the sources behind the costs of job loss over the business cycle using administrative data from Germany. Losses in annual earnings after displacement are large, persistent, and highly cyclical, nearly doubling in size during downturns.
Johannes F. Schmieder +2 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Inference in Regression Discontinuity Designs with a Discrete Running Variable [PDF]
The American Economic Review, 2016 We consider inference in regression discontinuity designs when the running variable only takes a moderate number of distinct values. In particular, we study the common practice of using confidence intervals (CIs) based on standard errors that are ...
M. Kolesár, Christoph Rothe
semanticscholar +1 more source
How Do Households Respond to Job Loss? Lessons from Multiple High-Frequency Data Sets
Social Science Research Network, 2023 How much and through which channels do households self-insure against job loss? Combining data from a large bank and from government sources, we quantify a broad range of responses to job loss in a unified empirical framework.
A. Andersen +5 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Social Science Research Network, 2023 IZA DP No. 16426 SEPTEMBER 2023 Predicting Re-Employment: Machine Learning versus Assessments by Unemployed Workers and by Their Caseworkers* Predictions of whether newly unemployed individuals will become long-term unemployed are important for the ...
Gerard J. van den Berg +4 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
The American Economic Review, 2022 We show that the largest increase in unemployment benefits in US history had large spending impacts and small job-finding impacts. This finding has three implications.
P. Ganong +4 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Consumer Spending during Unemployment: Positive and Normative Implications
The American Economic Review, 2019 Using de-identified bank account data, we show that spending drops sharply at the large and predictable decrease in income arising from the exhaustion of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits.
P. Ganong, P. Noel
semanticscholar +1 more source
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2021 It is widely believed that the presence of a large informal sector increases the efficiency cost of social programs in developing countries. We evaluate such claims for the case of unemployment insurance (UI) by combining an optimal UI framework with ...
F. Gérard, Gustavo Gonzaga
semanticscholar +1 more source
Removing Welfare Traps: Employment Responses in the Finnish Basic Income Experiment
Social Science Research Network, 2021 This paper provides evidence that replacing minimum unemployment benefits with a basic income of equal size has minor employment effects at best. We examine an experiment in Finland in which 2,000 benefit recipients were randomized to receive a monthly ...
J. Verho +2 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Unemployment Insurance Taxes and Labor Demand: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Administrative Data
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2021 To finance unemployment insurance, states raise payroll tax rates on employers who engage in layoffs. Tax rates are, therefore, highest for firms after downturns, potentially hampering labor-market recovery.
Andrew C. Johnston
semanticscholar +1 more source
The Heterogeneous Impact of Short-Time Work: From Saved Jobs to Windfall Effects
Social Science Research Network, 2021 IZA DP No. 14381 MAY 2021 The Heterogeneous Impact of Short-Time Work: From Saved Jobs to Windfall Effects To understand which firms take-up short-time work and which workers they enroll in this program, we provide a model which shows that short-time ...
Pierre Cahuc, F. Kramarz, Sandra Nevoux
semanticscholar +1 more source