Further evidence on the size and power of the Bierens and Johansen cointegration procedures [PDF]
Although both the Johansen (1991, 1994) trace test and Bierens (1997a,b) nonparametric lambda-min test for cointegration have good size properties in Monte Carlo studies by Hubrich, Lutkepohl, and Saikkonen (2001) and Boswijk, Lucas, and Taylor (2000 ...
David O. Cushman
core
Recent Developments in Cointegration [PDF]
It is well known that inference on the cointegrating relations in a vector autoregression (CVAR) is difficult in the presence of a near unit root. The test for a given cointegration vector can have rejection probabilities under the null, which vary ...
Søren Johansen, Massimo Franchi
core +1 more source
ABSTRACT Since the seminal contributions of Friedman and Schwartz and of Hendry and Ericsson, instability in money demand has remained a central issue in the literature. This study broadens and generalizes the first evidence for the United Kingdom of stable long‐ and short‐run broad money demand extending back to the nineteenth century. Using nonlinear
Álvaro Escribano +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Confidence Intervals for Price Discovery
ABSTRACT This paper discusses asymptotic and bootstrap confidence intervals for multivariate permanent‐transitory decompositions of cointegrated vector autoregressive I(1) systems, with a focus on price discovery. Alternative estimators of the permanent components are compared in terms of efficiency also under separable linear restrictions on the ...
Heino Bohn Nielsen +2 more
wiley +1 more source
On the robustness of cointegration tests when series are fractionally integrated [PDF]
This paper shows, analytically and numerically, the effects of a misspecification in the degree of integration on testing for cointegration. Johansen LR tests tend to find too much spurious cointegration while the Engle-Granger test shows a more robust ...
Gonzalo, Jesús, Lee, Tae-Hwy
core
The Cointegration analysis of per capita trade turnover between the Republic of Azerbaijan and Turkey and the GDPs of these countries [PDF]
The article builds an ECM model (error correction model) of the relationship between Azerbaijan's trade turnover with Turkey per capita and the GDP per capita of these countries for the period 1992–2022.
Yuniszada Roya
doaj +1 more source
Least Trimmed Squares: Cointegration and Outliers
ABSTRACT When applying the cointegrated autoregressive distributed lag model it is common to include indicator variables for outliers. This is often done in a somewhat ad hoc way. Least Trimmed Squares estimation provides a more systematic approach. This estimator is robust to a large number of outliers of many types.
Vanessa Berenguer‐Rico, Bent Nielsen
wiley +1 more source
COINTEGRATION ANALYSIS OF EUROPEAN STOCK MARKETS (ROMANIA, GERMANY, FRANCE AND POLAND) FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF THE NET ASSETS INVESTMENT OF THE ROMANIAN MANDATORY PRIVATE PENSION FUNDS [PDF]
The goal of this paper is to investigate cointegration between Bucharest Stock Exchange and three European Stock Markets: Germany,France and Poland, respectively.
Andreea-Cristina PETRICA +2 more
doaj
The impact of the Chinese cornstarch futures on spot market and corn futures market
This article investigates price transmission mechanism and volatility impact between Chinese cornstarch futures market and relevant markets through Johansen cointegration test, VEC model and GARCH model.
Crentsil Kofi Agyekum +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Inference on Common Trends in a Cointegrated Nonlinear SVAR
ABSTRACT We consider the problem of performing inference on the number of common stochastic trends when data is generated by a cointegrated CKSVAR (a two‐regime, piecewise affine SVAR; Mavroeidis, 2021), using a modified version of the Breitung (2002) multivariate variance ratio test that is robust to the presence of nonlinear cointegration (of a known
James A. Duffy, Xiyu Jiao
wiley +1 more source

