Results 181 to 190 of about 105,286 (276)

Threshold Asymmetric Conditional Autoregressive Range (TACARR) Model

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper introduces a Threshold Asymmetric Conditional Autoregressive Range (TACARR) model for analyzing the daily price ranges of financial assets. The proposed formulation assumes that the conditional expected range switches between two regimes, representing upward and downward market states, with the disturbance distribution also allowed ...
Isuru Ratnayake, V. A. Samaranayake
wiley   +1 more source

A New Implementation of Network GARCH Model for Stock Volatility and Co‐Volatility Forecasting

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Volatility clustering and spillovers are key features of financial time series with many cross‐sectional assets. While network analysis links similar or correlated stocks and helps trace volatility spillovers, contemporary multivariate ARCH‐GARCH formulations struggle to represent structured network dependence and remain parsimonious.
Peiyi Zhou
wiley   +1 more source

A Novel Text‐Based Framework for Forecasting Carbon Prices

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study proposes a text‐based framework for predicting EU carbon prices. Using weekly data from 2020 to 2024, we construct a multivariate dataset combining financial indicators, commodity prices, Google Trends measures, and news‐based sentiment extracted using FinBERT.
Christian Oliver Ewald, Yaoyu Li
wiley   +1 more source

Geometry-informed correction of projection bias in browser-based monocular squat assessment. [PDF]

open access: yesFront Sports Act Living
Iizuka R   +4 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Forecasting Duration in High‐Frequency Financial Data Using a Self‐Exciting Flexible Residual Point Process

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self‐exciting flexible residual point process. High‐frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy‐tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge for accurate prediction.
Kyungsub Lee
wiley   +1 more source

MARS‐Diff: Guarded Residual Diffusion for Leakage‐Disciplined Probabilistic Portfolio‐Loss Forecasting

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper develops Masked Asset–Regime Scenario Diffusion (MARS‐Diff), a leakage‐disciplined framework for probabilistic forecasting of multiday portfolio losses. The framework combines a regularized heterogeneous autoregressive model with exogenous predictors (HAR‐X) as its anchor, a train‐only masked representation of a high‐dimensional ...
Çağlar Sözen, Mervenur Sözen
wiley   +1 more source

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