Results 31 to 40 of about 49,442 (204)
Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos +4 more
wiley +1 more source
On the Comovement of Contango and Backwardation Across Futures Commodity Markets
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We examine the time‐varying nature of the comovement of the slope of the futures curve in major agricultural, metals and energy commodity futures markets in a Global Vector Autoregressive model. We find significant comovement between the slopes, indicating the co‐existence of backwardation and contango in many seemingly unrelated commodity ...
Angelo Luisi +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Critique of IS-LM: Fiscal Deficits, Loanable Funds, Keynesian Cross and IS-LM [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2014 This paper intends to discuss some problematic properties IS-LM and loanable funds together have when dealing with fiscal deficits. Many others have focused on its assumptions for criticism of IS-LM, but I will mainly focus on its fundamental modelling nature.
openaire +1 more source
Do Internet‐Driven Trade Shocks Moderate the Exchange Rate Pass‐Through to Inflation?
International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This study examines the existence of an internet globalisation intensifying impact on the size of the exchange rate pass‐through (ERPT) to inflation, which conditions the response of central banks' policy rates. Expanding on the traditional determinants of ERPT, we incorporate technology‐induced trade shocks linked to internet adoption to ...
Joanna Darwiche, Nicole Ballouz Baker
wiley +1 more source
Beyond the DSGE Straitjacket [PDF]
, 2011 Academic macroeconomics and the research department of central banks have come to be dominated by Dynamic, Stochastic, General Equilibrium (DSGE) models based on micro-foundations of optimising representative agents with rational expectations.
Pesaran, M Hashem, Smith, Ron P
core +2 more sources
What Explains International Interest Rate Co‐Movement?
Journal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT The international co‐movement of interest rates reflects correlated business‐cycle fluctuations, largely driven by demand shocks. Monetary policy in advanced economies follows domestic mandates—inflation and the output gap—and does not respond to foreign policy shocks.
Annika Camehl, Gregor von Schweinitz
wiley +1 more source
Sustainable Development, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This study pursues a dual objective. First, it investigates the unconditional impact of anti‐globalization on structural transformation in Africa. Second, it explores how environmental degradation interacts with anti‐globalization to influence structural transformation. The analysis focuses on 52 African countries over the period 2005–2023. To
Simplice A. Asongu, Ekene ThankGod Emeka
wiley +1 more source
Climate Change and (Mal)Adaptation in Tourism‐Intensive Alpine Regions
The Political Quarterly, EarlyView.Abstract Tourism, especially in winter, accounts for a large share of economic income in Alpine regions. At the same time, these regions are more severely affected by climate change, leading to shorter winter seasons and reduced snow cover. This presents a pressing issue for areas reliant on income from winter tourism through activities such as skiing.
Valentina Ausserladscheider
wiley +1 more source
The British Journal of Sociology, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Tracing the early adoption of computer gang databases by the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department and the Los Angeles Police Department in the 1980s to the deployment of computationally‐assisted surveillance during the Vietnam War, this paper uses a genealogical approach to compare surveillance technologies developed across the arc of ...
Christina Hughes
wiley +1 more source
When in Doubt, Tax More Progressively? Uncertainty and Progressive Income Taxation
International Economic Review, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We study the optimal income tax problem under parameter uncertainty about household preferences and wage dynamics. We derive conditions characterizing how such uncertainty affects optimal tax policy. To quantify the effect, we estimate a life‐cycle model using US data and a Bayesian approach.
Minsu Chang, Chunzan Wu
wiley +1 more source