Results 31 to 40 of about 336 (199)

Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

OVERCOMING SOCIAL DIFFERENTIATION AS A FACTOR IN THE TRANSITION TO SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH

open access: yesФинансы: теория и практика, 2017
In 1970s of XX century, many prominent economists and environmentalists reflected about the limits of economic growth and opposed to the concept of economic growth the concept of sustainable harmonious economic development which implies that investment ...
P. V. Arefyev
doaj   +1 more source

Oil Futures Prices, Inflation Expectations, and Bond Risk Premiums

open access: yesJournal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT By decomposing West Texas Intermediate futures price changes into structural supply and demand shocks, this paper shows that dissecting the oil price significantly improves inflation forecasts. Empirically, demand‐driven shocks predict a negative real bond risk premium but a positive inflation risk premium; these opposing effects result in an ...
Haibo Jiang
wiley   +1 more source

Economic policies for monetary economies

open access: yesBrazilian Journal of Political Economy, 2022
A new wave of conservative thinking in economic theory and policy, which emerged in the mid-1970s, made the dominance of Keynesian views among macroeconomists its priority target.
FERNANDO J. CARDIM DE CARVALHO
doaj   +1 more source

Do Internet‐Driven Trade Shocks Moderate the Exchange Rate Pass‐Through to Inflation?

open access: yesInternational Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study examines the existence of an internet globalisation intensifying impact on the size of the exchange rate pass‐through (ERPT) to inflation, which conditions the response of central banks' policy rates. Expanding on the traditional determinants of ERPT, we incorporate technology‐induced trade shocks linked to internet adoption to ...
Joanna Darwiche, Nicole Ballouz Baker
wiley   +1 more source

Household Consumption Intentions by Income Group During Monetary Policy Easing and Tightening

open access: yesInternational Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We investigate how the monetary policy interest rate affects Brazilian households' consumption intentions under two distinct regimes: monetary easing and tightening cycles. Using data from low‐ and high‐income households, we assess both the magnitude and the dynamics of this relationship.
Helder Ferreira de Mendonça   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

What Explains International Interest Rate Co‐Movement?

open access: yesJournal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The international co‐movement of interest rates reflects correlated business‐cycle fluctuations, largely driven by demand shocks. Monetary policy in advanced economies follows domestic mandates—inflation and the output gap—and does not respond to foreign policy shocks.
Annika Camehl, Gregor von Schweinitz
wiley   +1 more source

The financial crises of globalization

open access: yesCivilizar, 2014
In the twentieth century there was a debate between Keynesian and the market neoliberal economy school and the Keyneysian model prevail until the arrival of contemporary globalization,that adopted the neoliberal paradigm.
Edgar Vieira Posada
doaj  

Public value and public services in the post-virus economy

open access: yesPublic Sector Economics, 2021
This essay explores public value and public management through the lens of economic factors - an unusual stance since public management research mostly features the economy as background rather than foreground.
Tony Kinder, Jari Stenvall
doaj   +1 more source

Blue‐Prints for Ocean Governance: Analyzing Resource Sustainability in International Blue Economic Frameworks

open access: yesSustainable Development, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Championed as a pathway for sustainable growth, the “blue economy” (BE) has garnered increasing interest in recent decades. International organizations like the World Bank and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) increasingly point to marine resources and activities as a “new frontier” for economic growth ...
Flora St. Pier   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

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