Results 31 to 40 of about 149 (131)
A Note on Local Polynomial Regression for Time Series in Banach Spaces
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This work extends local polynomial regression to Banach space‐valued time series for estimating smoothly varying means and their derivatives in non‐stationary data. The asymptotic properties of both the standard and bias‐reduced Jackknife estimators are analyzed under mild moment conditions, establishing their convergence rates.
Florian Heinrichs
wiley +1 more source
Robust Estimation and Inference for Time‐Varying Unconditional Volatility
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We derive a general and robust estimator of a large class of parametric specifications of time‐varying unconditional volatility of financial returns, both univariate and multivariate, and establish the Consistency and Asymptotic Normality (CAN) of the estimator.
Adam Lee +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Empirical‐Process Limit Theory and Filter Approximation Bounds for Score‐Driven Time Series Models
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This article examines the filtering and approximation‐theoretic properties of score‐driven time series models. Under specific Lipschitz‐type and tail conditions, new results are derived, leading to maximal and deviation inequalities for the filtering approximation error using empirical process theory.
Enzo D'Innocenzo
wiley +1 more source
Testing Distributional Granger Causality With Entropic Optimal Transport
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We develop a novel nonparametric test for Granger causality in distribution based on entropic optimal transport. Unlike classical mean‐based approaches, the proposed method directly compares the full conditional distributions of a response variable with and without the history of a candidate predictor.
Tao Wang
wiley +1 more source
Marchenko–Pastur Laws for Daniell Smoothed Periodograms
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Given a sample X0,…,Xn−1$$ {X}_0,\dots, {X}_{n-1} $$ from a d$$ d $$‐dimensional stationary time series (Xt)t∈ℤ$$ {\left({X}_t\right)}_{t\in \mathbb{Z}} $$, the most commonly used estimator for the spectral density matrix F(θ)$$ F\left(\theta \right) $$ at a given frequency θ∈[0,2π)$$ \theta \in \left[0,2\pi \right) $$ is the Daniell smoothed ...
Ben Deitmar
wiley +1 more source
Measure‐valued processes for energy markets
Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Reinforcement Learning for Jump‐Diffusions, With Financial Applications
Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We study continuous‐time reinforcement learning (RL) for stochastic control in which system dynamics are governed by jump‐diffusion processes. We formulate an entropy‐regularized exploratory control problem with stochastic policies to capture the exploration–exploitation balance essential for RL.
Xuefeng Gao, Lingfei Li, Xun Yu Zhou
wiley +1 more source
Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This study develops a novel multivariate stochastic framework for assessing systemic risks, such as climate and nature‐related shocks, within production or financial networks. By embedding a linear stochastic fluid network, interpretable as a generalized vector Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, into the production network of interdependent ...
Giovanni Amici +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Random Carbon Tax Policy and Investment Into Emission Abatement Technologies
Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We analyze the problem of a profit‐maximizing electricity producer, subject to carbon taxes, who decides on investments into CO2$\rm CO_2$ abatement technologies. We assume that the carbon tax policy is random and that the investment in the abatement technology is divisible, irreversible, and subject to transaction costs.
Katia Colaneri +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Relative Arbitrage Opportunities With Interactions Among N Investors
Mathematical Finance, EarlyView.ABSTRACT The relative arbitrage portfolio outperforms a benchmark portfolio over a given time‐horizon with probability one. With market price of risk processes depending on the market portfolio and investors, this paper analyzes the multi‐agent optimization of relative arbitrage opportunities in the coupled system of market and wealth dynamics.
Tomoyuki Ichiba, Nicole Tianjiao Yang
wiley +1 more source