Results 201 to 210 of about 546,655 (283)

Estimating Velocities of Infectious Disease Spread Through Spatio‐Temporal Log‐Gaussian Cox Point Processes

open access: yesInternational Statistical Review, EarlyView.
Summary Understanding the spread of infectious diseases such as COVID‐19 is crucial for informed decision‐making and resource allocation. A critical component of disease behaviour is the velocity with which disease spreads, defined as the rate of change between time and space.
Fernando Rodriguez Avellaneda   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

A Non‐Parametric Framework for Correlation Functions on Product Metric Spaces

open access: yesInternational Statistical Review, EarlyView.
Summary We propose a non‐parametric framework for analysing data defined over products of metric spaces, a versatile class encountered in various fields. This framework accommodates non‐stationarity and seasonality and is applicable to both local and global domains, such as the Earth's surface, as well as domains evolving over linear time or time ...
Pier Giovanni Bissiri   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Mixing It Up: Inflation at Risk

open access: yesJournal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.
Abstract Understanding how risk factors shape the economic outlook is essential for guiding policy decisions. This paper develops a flexible framework that decomposes distributional risk forecasts of macro‐economic variables into underlying contributions and supports the construction of interpretable risk measures.
MAXIMILIAN SCHRÖDER
wiley   +1 more source

A joint model of cost and churn for the insurance industry

open access: yesJournal of Risk and Insurance, EarlyView.
Abstract In insurance markets, claim costs are highly variable, heavy‐tailed, and difficult to predict. At the same time, policyholder retention and lapse behavior (customer churn) are critical determinants of long‐term profitability and solvency. Most existing models in the literature treat claim costs and lapses as independent, overlooking potential ...
Yumo Dong   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Measure‐valued processes for energy markets

open access: yesMathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.
Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

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