Results 181 to 190 of about 232,217 (241)

A joint model of cost and churn for the insurance industry

open access: yesJournal of Risk and Insurance, EarlyView.
Abstract In insurance markets, claim costs are highly variable, heavy‐tailed, and difficult to predict. At the same time, policyholder retention and lapse behavior (customer churn) are critical determinants of long‐term profitability and solvency. Most existing models in the literature treat claim costs and lapses as independent, overlooking potential ...
Yumo Dong   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Robust CDF‐Filtering of a Location Parameter

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper introduces a novel framework for designing robust filters associated with signal plus noise models having symmetric observation density. The filters are obtained by a recursion where the innovation term is a transform of the cumulative distribution function of the residuals.
Leopoldo Catania   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Empirical‐Process Limit Theory and Filter Approximation Bounds for Score‐Driven Time Series Models

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This article examines the filtering and approximation‐theoretic properties of score‐driven time series models. Under specific Lipschitz‐type and tail conditions, new results are derived, leading to maximal and deviation inequalities for the filtering approximation error using empirical process theory.
Enzo D'Innocenzo
wiley   +1 more source

Measure‐valued processes for energy markets

open access: yesMathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.
Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

On the Exact Limiting Distribution of a Volatility Target Index

open access: yesMathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Assuming a lognormal distribution for the underlying risky asset, we study the limiting distribution of a volatility target index as the rebalancing time step approaches zero. Two limit theorems (a strong law of large numbers and a central limit theorem) are established, and as an application, the exact limiting distribution is derived.
Xuan Liu, Michel Gauthier
wiley   +1 more source

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