Results 241 to 250 of about 392,820 (275)
This study investigated the performance of the Lee-Carter (LC) method and it variants in modeling and forecasting Malaysia mortality. These include the original LC, the Lee-Miller (LM) variant and the Booth-Maindonald-Smith (BMS) variant. These methods were evaluated using Malaysia’s mortality data which was measured based on age specific death rates ...
W. H. Wan Zakiyatussariroh +2 more
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The Lee–Carter method and probabilistic population forecasts
Adrian E. Raftery
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Comparing Mortality Trends via Lee-Carter Method in the Framework of Multidimensional Data Analysis
In the framework of demographic processes, different approaches can be identified. According to their aims, these approaches can be differentiated in extrapolative and structural methods. The first focus on the homogeneity of trends in order to obtain projection. The second are based on structural models relating demographic variables to other kinds of
Giuseppe Giordano +2 more
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In recent years, the study of fertility has been getting a lot of attention among research abroad following fear of deterioration of fertility led by the rapid economy development. Hence, this study examines the feasibility of developing fertility forecasts based on age structure. Lee Carter model (1992) is applied in this study as it is an established
Hazlenah Hanafiah, Abdul Aziz Jemain
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Comparing Methods for Lee–Carter Parameter’s Estimation for Predicting Hospital Admission Rates
The government hospital in Malaysia is prominent for the low cost of health care and medical treatment, and it had been reported that the hospital admission is increasing annually. This has led to the widespread problem of overcrowding. In order to assist the government to plan and manage demands for health services and health care needs, the ...
Siti Zulaikha Zulkarnain Yap +3 more
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The Applicability of the Lee-Carter Method to Forecast Health Services Use in Brazil
The world population age structure has been going through major changes in the past few decades (Bloom 2011; Lee 2011). The average age of the population by 2050 will be 41.9 years old, and the percentage of elderly will rise from 7.6 to 16.2 % in the same period (United Nations 2011). Population aging is increasing the concern about the sustainability
Cristina Guimarães Rodrigues +3 more
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(2000). “The Lee-Carter Method for Forecasting Mortality, with Various Extensions and Applications“, Ronald Lee, January 2000. North American Actuarial Journal: Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 91-93.
Juha M. Alho
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Discussion of “Thirty years on: A review of the Lee–Carter method for forecasting mortality”
Han Lin Shang, Leonie Tickle
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Ponendosi con atteggiamento critico in relazione alle tendenze evolutive della mortalità di fronte al recente allargamento dell’Unione Europea a 27 paesi, pare lecito domandarsi quanto questa macro-area sia da ritenersi un aggregato coerente di popolazioni.
Tiziana Barugola, Carlo Maccheroni
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