Results 121 to 130 of about 129,728 (246)

Empirical‐Process Limit Theory and Filter Approximation Bounds for Score‐Driven Time Series Models

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This article examines the filtering and approximation‐theoretic properties of score‐driven time series models. Under specific Lipschitz‐type and tail conditions, new results are derived, leading to maximal and deviation inequalities for the filtering approximation error using empirical process theory.
Enzo D'Innocenzo
wiley   +1 more source

Testing Distributional Granger Causality With Entropic Optimal Transport

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We develop a novel nonparametric test for Granger causality in distribution based on entropic optimal transport. Unlike classical mean‐based approaches, the proposed method directly compares the full conditional distributions of a response variable with and without the history of a candidate predictor.
Tao Wang
wiley   +1 more source

Marchenko–Pastur Laws for Daniell Smoothed Periodograms

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Given a sample X0,…,Xn−1$$ {X}_0,\dots, {X}_{n-1} $$ from a d$$ d $$‐dimensional stationary time series (Xt)t∈ℤ$$ {\left({X}_t\right)}_{t\in \mathbb{Z}} $$, the most commonly used estimator for the spectral density matrix F(θ)$$ F\left(\theta \right) $$ at a given frequency θ∈[0,2π)$$ \theta \in \left[0,2\pi \right) $$ is the Daniell smoothed ...
Ben Deitmar
wiley   +1 more source

Measure‐valued processes for energy markets

open access: yesMathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 520-566, April 2025.
Abstract We introduce a framework that allows to employ (non‐negative) measure‐valued processes for energy market modeling, in particular for electricity and gas futures. Interpreting the process' spatial structure as time to maturity, we show how the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach can be translated to this framework, thus guaranteeing arbitrage free ...
Christa Cuchiero   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Using wavelets for Szász-type operators

open access: yesJournal of Numerical Analysis and Approximation Theory, 1995
Szász-Mirakjan operators extend the classical Bernstein operators and are useful tools for approximating continuous functions on the infinite interval \([0, \infty)\). These operators have integral variations of Kantorovich and Durrmeyer types in order
Heinz H. Gonska, Ding-Xuan Zhou
doaj   +2 more sources

Robust Bernoulli Mixture Models for Credit Portfolio Risk

open access: yesMathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper presents comparison results and establishes risk bounds for credit portfolios within classes of Bernoulli mixture models, assuming conditionally independent defaults that are stochastically increasing in a common risk factor. We provide simple and interpretable conditions on conditional default probabilities that imply a comparison ...
Jonathan Ansari, Eva Lütkebohmert
wiley   +1 more source

Reinforcement Learning for Jump‐Diffusions, With Financial Applications

open access: yesMathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study continuous‐time reinforcement learning (RL) for stochastic control in which system dynamics are governed by jump‐diffusion processes. We formulate an entropy‐regularized exploratory control problem with stochastic policies to capture the exploration–exploitation balance essential for RL.
Xuefeng Gao, Lingfei Li, Xun Yu Zhou
wiley   +1 more source

Never, Ever Getting Started: On Prospect Theory Without Commitment

open access: yesMathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Prospect theory is arguably the most prominent alternative to expected utility theory. We study the investment or gambling behavior of a prospect theory decision maker who is aware of his time‐inconsistency but lacks commitment. For the empirically relevant prospect theory specifications, we obtain the extreme prediction that such a decision ...
Sebastian Ebert, Philipp Strack
wiley   +1 more source

Navigating Supply Shocks: Sector Resilience and Production Prices Through Stochastic Input–Output Modeling

open access: yesMathematical Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study develops a novel multivariate stochastic framework for assessing systemic risks, such as climate and nature‐related shocks, within production or financial networks. By embedding a linear stochastic fluid network, interpretable as a generalized vector Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, into the production network of interdependent ...
Giovanni Amici   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

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