Medium-Size Macroeconomic Model for the Brazilian Economy [PDF]
This paper presents a medium-scale structural model for the Brazilian economy with more than 30 equations. The potential output is derived from a Cobb-Douglas production function and the demand side is divided in estimated equation for: consumption of ...
Marcelo Kfoury Muinhos +1 more
core
The Dollar's Double Life: Not All Dollar Appreciations Are Born Equal for the Cross‐Currency Basis
ABSTRACT This paper revisits the relationship between the US dollar and cross‐currency basis (XCB) swap spreads. We show that the strength and direction of this relationship depend on the prevailing regime of the broad dollar. The evidence suggests that the well‐documented “dollar appreciates, basis widens” result holds primarily when the dollar is in ...
Daniel Felix Ahelegbey +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Oil Futures Prices, Inflation Expectations, and Bond Risk Premiums
ABSTRACT By decomposing West Texas Intermediate futures price changes into structural supply and demand shocks, this paper shows that dissecting the oil price significantly improves inflation forecasts. Empirically, demand‐driven shocks predict a negative real bond risk premium but a positive inflation risk premium; these opposing effects result in an ...
Haibo Jiang
wiley +1 more source
Dynamic forecasting of China's carbon market prices by the coupling of macroeconomic indicators and LSTM model. [PDF]
Wang Y, Huo H, Liu X, Song F, Huang S.
europepmc +1 more source
The Impact of Democratization and Globalization on Environmental Sustainability in Brazil
Fossil fuel, economic globalisation, and economic growth drive environmental degradation while democratisation positively influences environmental quality. ABSTRACT Although Brazil still possesses significant ecological reserves, the surplus in its biocapacity has been rapidly declining in recent years.
Mustafa Naimoğlu +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Assessing the Macroeconomic Determinants of International Tourist Arrival in India: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach. [PDF]
Singh AK +7 more
europepmc +1 more source
The current study examines the role of Fintech, wind energy, and green technology in determining environmental suitability in Germany from 2000 to 2024. The study employs time series econometric methods to estimate the QQR and QR techniques. The positive effects of wind production, FinTech, Natural Resources and green technology on environmental ...
Hind Alofaysan, Kamel Si Mohammed
wiley +1 more source
The global economic burden of cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases: A health-augmented macroeconomic modeling study. [PDF]
Zhang R +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
The Effect of Voluntary Staying at Home on Japanese Female Suicide During the COVID‐19 Pandemic
ABSTRACT In Japan, female suicide increased during the COVID‐19 pandemic. This study evaluated how pandemic‐related home confinement affected female suicide. We employed a shift‐share instrumental variable design to assess whether differential exposure to the pandemic caused changes in suicide incidence.
Yoko Ibuka +3 more
wiley +1 more source
An enhanced bat algorithm based intelligent inspired architecture for resilient macroeconomic prediction. [PDF]
Mou S, Gan J, Yang Y, Lan Y, Rao C.
europepmc +1 more source

