Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time
ABSTRACT This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the forecastability of the real price of natural gas in the United States at the monthly frequency considering a universe of models that differ in complexity and economic content. We find that considerable reductions in mean‐squared prediction error relative to a no‐change benchmark can be ...
Christiane Baumeister +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Heat stress causes economic and welfare disparities across agroecological zones in Burkina Faso. [PDF]
Houessou MAK +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
The PCDID Approach to Treatment Effects Estimation: A Further Investigation
ABSTRACT In the present paper, we study the so‐called “PCDID” approach to treatment effects estimation in panels with interactive effects where the factors represent trends whose effect need not be parallel across the cross‐sectional units. Our interest in this step‐wise approach originates with the observation that the interactive effects are ignored ...
Tilman Bretschneider, Joakim Westerlund
wiley +1 more source
Anticipating the downturn: business cycle forecasting for veterinary practice strategy in the United States. [PDF]
Neill CL, Salois M, McKay C.
europepmc +1 more source
Revisiting the Ancient Origins of Gender Inequality
ABSTRACT This study re‐examines the long‐term effect of traditional plough use on contemporary gender roles, as originally advanced by Alesina, Giuliano and Nunn [Quarterly Journal of Economics (2013) Vol. 128, pp. 469–530]. The findings demonstrate that the reduced‐form relationship between historical plough adoption and female empowerment is robust ...
Trung V. Vu
wiley +1 more source
The power of bridging decision scales: Model coupling for advanced climate policy analysis. [PDF]
Filatova T +19 more
europepmc +1 more source
Joint Estimation and Bandwidth Selection in Partially Parametric Models
ABSTRACT We propose a single‐step approach to estimating a model with both a known nonlinear parametric component and an unknown nonparametric component. We study the large sample behavior of a simultaneous optimization routine that estimates both the parameter vector of the parametric component and the bandwidth vector used to smooth the unknown ...
Daniel J. Henderson +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Exploring the relationship between macroeconomic indicators and sectoral indices of Indian stock market. [PDF]
Chauhan SS +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Toward SDG 3 in a developing nation: the role of health expenditure, financial development, and population growth in shaping health outcomes. [PDF]
Xiang X, He S, Abid A.
europepmc +1 more source

