Boosting Food System Stability Through Technological Progress in Price and Supply Dynamics. [PDF]
Doran NM.
europepmc +1 more source
This graphical abstract summarizes the proposed framework for improving short‐term residential natural gas consumption forecasting by integrating a novel socioeconomic indicator, the subscription growth ratio (SGR), with conventional meteorological variables.
Ali Pirzad, Mostafa Khanzadi
wiley +1 more source
Modeling and forecasting Saudi banking stability using ARIMA and exponential smoothing technique. [PDF]
Alnajjar A, Assous HF, Al-Najjar H.
europepmc +1 more source
Machine Learning Approaches to Forecast the Realized Volatility of Crude Oil Prices
ABSTRACT This paper presents an evaluation of the accuracy of machine learning (ML) techniques in forecasting the realized volatility of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices. We compare several ML algorithms, including regularization, regression trees, random forests, and neural networks, to several heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) models ...
Talha Omer +3 more
wiley +1 more source
A Deep Learning Framework for Forecasting Medium‐Term Covariance in Multiasset Portfolios
ABSTRACT Forecasting the covariance matrix of asset returns is central to portfolio construction, risk management, and asset pricing. However, most existing models struggle at medium‐term horizons, several weeks to months, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics prevail.
Pedro Reis, Ana Paula Serra, João Gama
wiley +1 more source
Dynamical analysis of a time-delayed financial system with synchronization strategies. [PDF]
Phukan A +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Market Interconnectedness
ABSTRACT While the existing research uncovers interconnections between various housing markets, it largely ignores the question of whether such linkages can improve house price predictions. To address this issue, we proceed in two steps. First, we forecast disaggregated house price growth rates from Australia and China to determine whether ...
Zac Chen +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Insights from Financial Economics to Value Healthcare Investments that Reduce System-Level Risks: Example of Disease Elimination and Eradication. [PDF]
Rao M +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
Regime‐Dependent Nowcasting of the Austrian Economy
ABSTRACT We nowcast and forecast economic activity in Austria, namely, real gross domestic product (GDP), consumption, and investment, which are available at a quarterly frequency, using a preselected number of monthly indicators based on a combination of statistical procedures.
Jaroslava Hlouskova, Ines Fortin
wiley +1 more source
Assessing the impact of government healthcare expenditure and life expectancy on economic growth in Saudi Arabia: an econometric time-series study (2000-2023). [PDF]
Alghannam R, Alharbi A.
europepmc +1 more source

