Results 41 to 50 of about 8,821 (198)

Seasonal Characteristics of Mesoscale Convective Systems Over the Philippines

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
This study examines how mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) over the Philippines are most frequent during boreal summer, while those in winter are longer‐lived and more intense due to cold surges and enhanced easterly moisture transport. Intraseasonal oscillations, such as the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal ...
Cathrene Lagare   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Recent asymmetric tropical ocean warming has altered regional propagation of Madden-Julian Oscillation

open access: yesCommunications Earth & Environment
Tropical sea surface temperature warming displays distinct regional patterns, but its influence on Madden-Julian Oscillation propagation remains unclear.
Hye-Ryeom Kim   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

An exploration of the connection between quasi-biennial oscillation and Madden-Julian oscillation

open access: yesEnvironmental Research Letters, 2021
Recent studies have shown arguments about the connection between stratospheric quasi‐biennial oscillation (QBO) and activities of Madden‐Julian oscillation (MJO) during boreal winter on interannual timescale, especially for the question of which aspects ...
Feiyang Wang, Lei Wang
doaj   +1 more source

Real-time extraction of the Madden-Julian oscillation using empirical mode decomposition and statistical forecasting with a VARMA model [PDF]

open access: yes, 2008
A simple guide to the new technique of empirical mode decomposition (EMD) in a meteorological-climate forecasting context is presented. A single application of EMD to a time series essentially acts as a local high-pass filter.
Adrian J. Matthews   +36 more
core   +1 more source

Dynamics and model representation of two contrasting extreme precipitation events in the Sahel

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Hovmöller diagrams of the two investigated extreme precipitation events in Mali are shown for (i) IMERG observations, and ICOsahedral Nonhydrostatic model (ICON) runs with parameterization of explicit convection (ii) enabled and (iii) disabled. This work highlights that the commonly perceived benefit of using explicit convection in a state‐of‐the‐art ...
Souleymane Sanogo   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Windows of opportunity in subseasonal weather regime forecasting: A statistical–dynamical approach

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study explores how the atmospheric state at initialisation creates windows of opportunity for improving week 3 forecasts of weather regime activity. Greenland blocking activity increases following Madden–Julian Oscillation phases 7, 8, and 1 and weak stratospheric polar vortex states, revealing patterns exploitable by statistical models.
Fabian Mockert   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Synoptic events associated with the land surface temperature in Rio de Janeiro

open access: yesBioscience Journal, 2017
This article aimed to evaluate land surface temperature using MOD11A2 (Terra satellite) with spatial resolution of one kilometre, compares its findings with land surface temperature data gathered by conventional meteorological stations, and, finally ...
Rafael Coll Delgado   +4 more
doaj   +3 more sources

RETRACTED ARTICLE: Machine learning prediction of the Madden-Julian oscillation

open access: yesnpj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2021
The socioeconomic impact of weather extremes draws the attention of researchers to the development of novel methodologies to make more accurate weather predictions.
Riccardo Silini   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

The effect of the quasi-biennial oscillation on the Madden-Julian oscillation in the Met Office Unified Model Global Ocean Mixed Layer configuration [PDF]

open access: yes, 2018
Using multi-decadal simulations, we investigate the relationship between the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) in the Global Ocean Mixed Layer Configuration of the Met Office Unified Model (MetUM-GOML1) at two ...
Baldwin   +38 more
core   +1 more source

Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley   +1 more source

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