Results 151 to 160 of about 17,552 (267)

Harnessing Deep Learning for Dual Gains in S2S‐Scale Soil Moisture Forecasting and Flash Drought Mechanisms

Water Resources Research, Volume 62, Issue 3, March 2026.
Abstract Flash drought (FD), so‐named for its abrupt and unforeseen onset, poses a significant challenge to forecasting, as current Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) shows limited skill in the sub‐seasonal to seasonal timescale (S2S, 2‐week to 2‐month range).
Gui‐bin Yang, Jian‐xia Chang, Lu Zhang, Jong‐hun Kam, Yi Zheng, Yi‐min Wang, Ai‐jun Guo, Arif Hussain, An‐qi Liu   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

Precipitation Budget of the Madden–Julian Oscillation

Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2017
Abstract Column moisture and moist static energy (MSE) budgets have become common tools in the study of the processes responsible for the maintenance and evolution of the MJO. While many studies have shown that precipitation is spatially correlated with column moisture, these budgets do not directly describe the MJO-related precipitation
openaire   +1 more source

Benchmarking Atmospheric Circulation Variability in an AI Emulator, ACE2, and a Hybrid Model, NeuralGCM

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 4, 28 February 2026.
Abstract Physics‐based atmosphere‐land models with prescribed sea surface temperature have notable successes but also biases in their ability to represent atmospheric variability compared to observations. Recently, AI emulators and hybrid models have emerged with the potential to overcome these biases, but still require systematic evaluation against ...
I. Baxter, H. A. Pahlavan, P. Hassanzadeh, K. Rucker, T. A. Shaw   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Changes in MJO Teleconnections in the Southeast U.S. Under Global Warming in the CESM2 Large Ensemble

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 4, 28 February 2026.
Abstract We examined projected changes in Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) teleconnections over North America using 90 ensemble members from the Community Earth System Model Version 2 Large Ensemble (CESM‐LENS2) under the SSP370 scenario. In the warmer climate, the classic PNA‐like teleconnection strengthens and shifts eastward, with large ensemble ...
Jingxuan Cui, Eric D. Maloney
wiley   +1 more source

Linking Hadley Cell Instability to Slow Equatorial Motions in Reanalysis and CMIP6 Models

Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 4, 28 February 2026.
Abstract A recent theory–originally proposed for tropical depression (TD)‐type waves–is extended to the Madden‐Julian Oscillation (MJO) and convectively‐coupled equatorial Rossby (ER) waves across the Indo‐Western Pacific region using reanalysis and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) data. This framework posits that waves grow from a
Qiao‐Jun Lin, Ángel F. Adames Corraliza, Víctor C. Mayta   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Sources of Subseasonal Predictability for Precipitation in South America Based on Model Experiments

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Volume 131, Issue 4, 28 February 2026.
Abstract This study investigates the sources of predictability underlying subseasonal precipitation skill over South America in existing subseasonal prediction systems. Using subseasonal re‐forecasts from the NCAR‐CESM2 model, we demonstrate that significant skill persists even when interannual variability is removed.
Kathy Pegion, Emily Becker, Ben P. Kirtman   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Moist Static Energy Budget of Australian Summer Monsoon Bursts in Climate Models: Insights From Present and Warming Climate Scenarios

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Volume 131, Issue 4, 28 February 2026.
Abstract This study investigates the complex dynamics of burst evolution in the Australian summer monsoon under present‐day and warmer climate conditions. Using reanalysis data, historical atmosphere‐only simulations (AMIP), and simulations with uniformly increased sea surface temperatures (+4K; AMIP+4K), we examine how seasonal‐mean precipitation and ...
Sarthak Mohanty, Christian Jakob, Martin S. Singh   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Global warming weakens Maritime Continent barrier effect on MJO propagation

Environmental Research Letters
As the Indo-Pacific warm pool expands in a warming climate, the probability of an MJO event successfully propagating through the Maritime Continent (MC) is projected to increase by 29.3% by the late 21st century under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. This enhanced
Jian Ling, Guiwan Chen, Chongyin Li
doaj   +1 more source

Modulation of Atlantic Aerosols by the Madden-Julian Oscillation [PDF]

Much like the better-known EI Nino-Southern Oscillation, the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a global-scale atmospheric phenomenon. The MJO involves periodic, systematic changes in the distribution of clouds and precipitation over the western Pacific ...
Kahn, Ralph A., Tian, B., Waliser, D. E., Wong, S.   +3 more
core   +1 more source

INTRASEASONAL VARIABILITY OF RAINFALL OVER NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN REGION

Earth Sciences Research Journal, 2008
Based on decadal (amounts for each ten days) precipitation data from meteorological stations situated in Northern South America and Caribbean region, a decadal precipitation index (DPI) was calculated in order to study the intraseasonal variability (ISV)
Dorado J., Pabón J.D.
doaj